Good explanation of bond futures?

The only bit that might be confusing is the margin required to trade, as well as the maintenance margin. At the CME website you have a tab per contract where you can check the margin required (follow RealMoney's links). Brokers' requirements might be bigger, so check the contract specs at your broker at well. That margin amount is essentially cash that your broker will hold per trade, so as well as checking your pnl, check how your available funds fluctuate with the price.
 
uhh ...
Maybe the confusion comes from the "Call Protection" that exists on a lot of bonds (but not Treasuries).
Municipal Bonds are usually quoted not in dollar price, but in Yield,
either Yield to Maturity (YTM)
or Yield to Call (YTC)
Which ever is lower.
And as mentioned, bond prices are inverse to yields.

Once you understand this, it's pretty much the same as stocks.
 
Not like stock futures? You agree to buy (or sell) that bond at a future date?
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Another elite reminded me of Ed Seykota's take on them;
like cockroaches crawling up a wall:D [ NEVER mind the old S&P downgrade on US debt\sarcasm]
Dave Ramsey likes beans better than bonds;
Rich Dennis reportedly noted ''we dont care if its beans or bonds''
Mr Bloomberg+ some banks\ no doubt, loves them.
 
The unusual tick sizes and fractions can indeed make it seem a bit convoluted.

Perhaps start out with the most liquid Micro, the 10 year note during RTH, when there is sufficient liquidity overall; at that time slot often a 2 tick spread and a dollar per tick. Since the price is quoted directly in yield, it is way more straitforward than fractions, i.e., 3.77 as I write. So the interest rate percentage is that value, and IF if goes up to say 3.87 you have a gross profit.
 
It couldn't be more straightforward in terms of what the contract is worth. Every contract has a multiplier and a price, and it goes up and down with the value of the underlying.

The value of a bond, bill, or note rises and falls inversely to yields. So, a rate future hedges interest rate risk for holders of treasury securities, just like an index future hedges market risk (BETA) for stock holders.

You have to look up the contract specs, here.
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/in...ry/2-year-us-treasury-note.contractSpecs.html
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/in...y/30-year-us-treasury-bond.contractSpecs.html

and so on...

They all have different tick values and multipliers, but they behave exactly like a cash settled index future in terms of function.

Stock holders sell index futures against their holdings, and bold holders sell rate futures to hedge their market risk.

Real Money has the right idea.
You have gotten some bad info.

Here's the Note as weekly bars.
Showing pos div on the RSI.
And fast stoch looks OK.
It's just trading.
Don't overthink it.

T-note.jpg
 
I need a good explanation of the mechanics of the market. Got one?

"The Treasury Bond Basis" by Brughardt and Belton

Here is an Amazon link:

Code:
https://www.amazon.com/Treasury-Bond-Basis-Depth-Arbitrageurs/dp/0071456104/

This is not an easy read. But worth the time and effort.

A warning. This is one market you definitely don't want to play in if you don't
really really understand it. You'll be competing with people who are probably
smarter than you, and definitely more knowledgeable and experienced.
 
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Another elite reminded me of Ed Seykota's take on them;
like cockroaches crawling up a wall:D [ NEVER mind the old S&P downgrade on US debt\sarcasm]
Dave Ramsey likes beans better than bonds;
Rich Dennis reportedly noted ''we dont care if its beans or bonds''
Mr Bloomberg+ some banks\ no doubt, loves them.


But Mr. Turtle, why would anyone have any particular hate on bond futures as compared to any other futures? Isn't the concept the exact same? Thanks!
 
...I’m just going to have to get a contract and watch my equity fluctuate. Maybe that will break my thought pattern….

That is exactly the right way to go about it.

I have not followed the changes in fixed-income futures, but maybe there are micro-bond or note futures now? Is there a micro ZB? There may be, but I cannot recall. If the liquidity is there in them, that is a great place to try with live monies.
 
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