Bonds and notes are not signalling the end of the interest rate cycle. Watch out, if the yeild curve starts flattening, it will be bad for financials. I had been very bearish but the market's inability to follow on the down side has changed my mind. Actually I covered my shorts when Pretcher called for a crash and the market held up strong. Although I think S&P is headed to 950ish, we will probably see 1250 before that. It's hard to say, so I am staying in cash right now.
Historically when the bonds are in a down trend and S&P is in an uptrend, the market has crashed. Right now there are too many bears talking about doom. I do not think the market will accomodate everyone. Just waithing for majority of the the bears to turn bullish and I'll start selling again.