Quote from Swan Noir:
He did say that but he also said his entire sample has been a week -- five trading days. How can you extrapolate that he knows when his method is profitable. It's not a small sample size it is an absurd sample size. You've been around the block ... you know you can't draw any conclusions from his limited experience ... none!!
First, read his commentary.
He specifically said he's been profitable for one week but only in a specific duration of time (3am - 8am) and not profitable in another specific duration of time (after the regular session start). I'm not lying about what he said. He really did say that.
My recommendation is summarized below just in case you didn't see it.
1) Keep using the method between 3am - 8am until the method stops working. Don't use the method after the regular trading session starts.
2) Via a reply to NoDoji...if the suggestion is that he get a new method for trading the regular trading session. That's a good suggestion after she recommend such via suggestion he read about some other method.
3) New trading books on futures daytrading/scalping not needed.
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I've specifically stated the above in this thread and you have now showed up to say the following...
you can't draw any conclusions from his limited experience.
You suggesting he should stop trading from 3am - 8am that's been profitable so far because he only has one week of trading ?
You suggesting he should
continue using the same method in the regular trading session that's been
losing because he only has one week of trading ?
Think about the above very carefully before you reply to me and remember the goal is to be profitable. Now
pretend you're the one that started trading back in 2006 and for the past 5 days you've been using a "new method" that's profitable for you in the first 15 minutes of the regular trading session and profitable in the last 15 minutes of the regular trading session...
What will you say if I tell you that your sample size of 5 days is absurd and you can't draw any conclusions ?
Will you stop using the trade method in the first/last 15 minutes of the regular trading session ?
Just to be clear, he never did say and I never said that his one week of using the method is all the information he needs. In contrast, I've stated if he has stats (as in backtesting) that tells him when he's profitable and when he's not profitable...don't fight the stats even if he's been trading the method (simulator or real-money) for 1 day, 5 days, 1 month, 1 year or 5 years. Keep trading it (making money) in that specific market condition until it stops working...that's my conclusion and suggestion.