Now these might even deserve a bonus, they seem good at convincing people
http://www.businessinsider.com/why-...it-didnt-make-a-fortune-off-aig-either-2009-4
What they dont say is how they would collect on their AIG CDS when AIG going under would set off problems for everybody including the counterparties they choose to hedge with. They seem to be assuming that counterparty risk doesnt exist for their hedge and that risk wouldn't rise if AIG sent the US into a deeper depression, that would only be true if the government saved their other counterparties as well
http://www.businessinsider.com/why-...it-didnt-make-a-fortune-off-aig-either-2009-4
What they dont say is how they would collect on their AIG CDS when AIG going under would set off problems for everybody including the counterparties they choose to hedge with. They seem to be assuming that counterparty risk doesnt exist for their hedge and that risk wouldn't rise if AIG sent the US into a deeper depression, that would only be true if the government saved their other counterparties as well