Goldman Sachs Group Inc., the bank that said in July oil may reach $95 a barrel, told clients it was ``time to take profits'' after crude rose to a record $93.80 in New York yesterday.
``We are now more cautious on the near-term upside potential for oil prices,'' analysts including Jeffrey Currie in London said in the bank's Energy Weekly today. ``We are not trying to call a top here, just take profits.''
Goldman said it was closing its long positions in New York oil futures. Oil has gained 51 percent this year as hedge funds and other large speculators increased bets on rising prices. Net-long positions in New York crude futures in the week ended Aug. 3 jumped to the highest in more than a decade.
``The downside risks we have embedded in our end of first quarter 2008 oil price target of $80 a barrel are beginning to gain momentum,'' the report said. ``These include increasing exports, a slowing U.S. economy, an adequate level of heating oil inventories.''
Crude oil for December delivery fell $1.30, or 1.4 percent, to $92.23 a barrel at 10:17 a.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
The increase in crude supplies will partly come from the Greater Plutonio oil field in Angola and the Genghis Khan field in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, which both started this month and will likely ramp up production during the next few weeks, Goldman said.
``The strength in freight rates from West Africa to the U.S. Gulf Coast suggests that U.S. refineries may be preparing to receive more of the new Angolan low-sulfur medium grade Plutonio,'' the report said.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aK8JKWDdg0vM&refer=home
That´s really a "friendly neighbourhood" hint from GS, isn´t it ?
``We are now more cautious on the near-term upside potential for oil prices,'' analysts including Jeffrey Currie in London said in the bank's Energy Weekly today. ``We are not trying to call a top here, just take profits.''
Goldman said it was closing its long positions in New York oil futures. Oil has gained 51 percent this year as hedge funds and other large speculators increased bets on rising prices. Net-long positions in New York crude futures in the week ended Aug. 3 jumped to the highest in more than a decade.
``The downside risks we have embedded in our end of first quarter 2008 oil price target of $80 a barrel are beginning to gain momentum,'' the report said. ``These include increasing exports, a slowing U.S. economy, an adequate level of heating oil inventories.''
Crude oil for December delivery fell $1.30, or 1.4 percent, to $92.23 a barrel at 10:17 a.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
The increase in crude supplies will partly come from the Greater Plutonio oil field in Angola and the Genghis Khan field in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, which both started this month and will likely ramp up production during the next few weeks, Goldman said.
``The strength in freight rates from West Africa to the U.S. Gulf Coast suggests that U.S. refineries may be preparing to receive more of the new Angolan low-sulfur medium grade Plutonio,'' the report said.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aK8JKWDdg0vM&refer=home
That´s really a "friendly neighbourhood" hint from GS, isn´t it ?
