Goldman Sachs bet on housing meltdown -- and won

thanks for your valuable contribution! Staying on the neutral side already makes you rise above the dumb crowd.


Quote from AK100:

I thought asiaprop was just an apologist for anything China related?

Now he's got the goldman gig as well :)
 
Quote from asiaprop:

you are just so wrong. Nobody would take away my house if I had borrowed credit responsibly,


exactly and since many lenders didn't lend out responsibly, they should have had their houses taken away, not bailed out. And certainly not have politicians choose which house can be kept.I'm not here to argue with you. It really is everyones fault... :D
 
You suggest that GS is smarter than the rest of the pack and that may be true but that doesn't mean that GS is not complicit. They were repackaging mortgages and selling them knowing full well that they were bad. If what you say is correct -- that GS is smarter than the rest -- then GS knew they needed to hedge their risk. So what GS did was package bad mortgages on the left hand and hedge them, and then sell them with the right hand to pension funds and such. If the mortgages were really AAA why would they need to hedge that kind of risk? AAA is one notch below the Government's debt and as close to default free as you can get w/o buying debt from the government. Why the hedge?

That is fraud in the purest sense. If I did that with my clients I would be in jail.

Quote from asiaprop:

very fair point. For the first time in any of the GS threads someone is assuming some sort of responsibility on the consumers' side. I laud that.

Of course greed has motivated lenders to also become irresponsible. Those who did not see it coming or did not even bother became the AIGs, the Lehmans, the BSs. Those who read the markets and did their homework were the GSs. Simple as that. Should I be surprised that those who lost money over the past year or two (in whatever way) now jealously watch how GS is collecting the chips? Well those were chips earned on very smart and good bets. Losers are losers are losers. What else to say...I am happy to join your camp when GS is put on trial and convicted of a massive market manipulation scam. Until then losers should shut up and rather learn from those who made the right decisions.
 
Quote from the1:

You suggest that GS is smarter than the rest of the pack and that may be true but that doesn't mean that GS is not complicit. They were repackaging mortgages and selling them knowing full well that they were bad. If what you say is correct -- that GS is smarter than the rest -- then GS knew they needed to hedge their risk. So what GS did was package bad mortgages on the left hand and hedge them, and then sell them with the right hand to pension funds and such. If the mortgages were really AAA why would they need to hedge that kind of risk? AAA is one notch below the Government's debt and as close to default free as you can get w/o buying debt from the government. Why the hedge?

That is fraud in the purest sense. If I did that with my clients I would be in jail.

I agree what you described is fraud. The problem lies with large banks having MANY internal teams and no, they don't all know what each other is doing. GS is famous for encouraging their employees to talk-back to management and do things on their own. Don't misunderstand - it's not an excuse, but you have to understand how large companies work before you start calling for people's heads.
 
so you seriously think the investors who bought those mortgage obligations did not know they were bad? lol. You mean someone who collects 15+% returns on such products should not reasonably expect that there is some inherent risk, higher than the risk on government bonds? Dont make me laugh please...

and the rating was given by rating agencies not GS. And investors knew all along that the rating stood for nothing more than get the deal out of the door. GS is a bit smarter than the rest of the crowd but dont assume everyone else among the institutionals is completely dumb either.


Quote from the1:

You suggest that GS is smarter than the rest of the pack and that may be true but that doesn't mean that GS is not complicit. They were repackaging mortgages and selling them knowing full well that they were bad. If what you say is correct -- that GS is smarter than the rest -- then GS knew they needed to hedge their risk. So what GS did was package bad mortgages on the left hand and hedge them, and then sell them with the right hand to pension funds and such. If the mortgages were really AAA why would they need to hedge that kind of risk? AAA is one notch below the Government's debt and as close to default free as you can get w/o buying debt from the government. Why the hedge?

That is fraud in the purest sense. If I did that with my clients I would be in jail.
 
Quote from jem:

I agree capitalism should be tough. - all that creative destruction stuff.

What sucks was when GS got paulson to bail them out with billions of taxpayer dollars.

Plus we have no idea how many billions or trillions? of bad assets have been lifted out of banks books by the fed.
It has been said by elliot spizer the fed paid trillions. I am not sure if that is true - but if it is.

http://rawstory.com/08/news/2009/07/25/spitzer-federal-reserve-is-a-ponzi-scheme-an-inside-job/

People need to stop treating Blogs as news - they are Opinion/Editorial outlets, like tabloids. Elvis and space aliens? Yeah, the National Enquirer makes good arguments why Elvis is still alive too....

People seem to forget that before the meltdown GS was killing it - for YEARS. Their success is nothing new. Everyone on the street always wanted to work for them because they hired the best and brightest. Those valedictorians you graduated with? They went to work for Goldman. Those Rhodes scholars? At Goldman. Suddenly, because they had the least downside in a massive market correction, they must be gaming things? They've nearly ALWAYS been the best. GS hasn't changed, the market has. Suddenly people are looking for something to blame, so blame the successful - the ones that managed their risk properly, like this board always tells traders to do!

I'm not defending Goldman because they are Goldman, I'm making this point because they are at the top right now, and most of the arguments are how "fixed" or "rigged" the market is so attack the guy on top. Run a search on here: the majority of negative GS threads started AFTER that Rolling Stone article.

That RS article has turned people into the sheep they sware up and down they aren't! This is such a bandwagon issue: GS must be thee devil!!11!@ When people can't come up with valid facts to discuss other than pointing to "success as evidence of wrongdoing" it just doesn't work. Too many logical fallacies and not enough paper trails. I see infinitely more fraud that occurred with the underwriters, appraisers and mdd-level lenders related to MBS and CDOs than with the large IBs.
 
and if you would not have 2000+ posts i swear people would insist I am creating aliases. Good to see some people with common sense and and a good memory still left in this rat hole.

Quote from krazykarl:

People need to stop treating Blogs as news - they are Opinion/Editorial outlets, like tabloids. Elvis and space aliens? Yeah, the National Enquirer makes good arguments why Elvis is still alive too....

People seem to forget that before the meltdown GS was killing it - for YEARS. Their success is nothing new. Everyone on the street always wanted to work for them because they hired the best and brightest. Those valedictorians you graduated with? They went to work for Goldman. Those Rhodes scholars? At Goldman. Suddenly, because they had the least downside in a massive market correction, they must be gaming things? They've nearly ALWAYS been the best. GS hasn't changed, the market has. Suddenly people are looking for something to blame, so blame the successful - the ones that managed their risk properly, like this board always tells traders to do!

I'm not defending Goldman because they are Goldman, I'm making this point because they are at the top right now, and most of the arguments are how "fixed" or "rigged" the market is so attack the guy on top. Run a search on here: the majority of negative GS threads started AFTER that Rolling Stone article.

That RS article has turned people into the sheep they sware up and down they aren't! This is such a bandwagon issue: GS must be thee devil!!11!@ When people can't come up with valid facts to discuss other than pointing to "success as evidence of wrongdoing" it just doesn't work. Too many logical fallacies and not enough paper trails. I see infinitely more fraud that occurred with the underwriters, appraisers and mdd-level lenders related to MBS and CDOs than with the large IBs.
 
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