%%The MAGA earning run is starting. Imagine the profit surge in online shopping and entertainment
Exactly.
As far as GS opinion, I prefer price charts to GS...……………………………………………………...
%%The MAGA earning run is starting. Imagine the profit surge in online shopping and entertainment
The market will move in a way to frustrate the greatest number, as it usually does.
Right now I sense bears are frustrated, pissed off having missed the first huge leg down, nursing losses from the last few weeks, ranting at the insanity of the Fed, either averaging down into this rise or itching to go all in as soon as they see a hint of downward momo. Bulls are confident but either not long or long only a small portion of the size they want, not wanting to chase the rally higher and waiting for a retest/dip or looking to buy in the May-July timeframe.
This seems to be a recipe for choppy rangebound action, with downward spikes to shake out weak bulls and trap bears, but not offering a clear retest of the March lows - with risk to the upside, barring another unexpected black-swan shock.
%%Very, very well written - you make some excellent points.
Agree re consolidation possible here, check VIX 90day chart, mean reversion often yields chop.
Reaction to earnings will drive price action this week.
Given big picture devastation re unemployment, gdp, virus etc I can't see non fed buying stocks near-term beyond consumer staples, Amazon ZM cv biotech plays, not much breadth to sustain rally.
I was up 9k trading inverses during earlier drop this year, gave back several k bottomfishing inverses recently.
So I think odds are selling accelerates soon, though I could be wrong.
%%The market will move in a way to frustrate the greatest number, as it usually does.
Right now I sense bears are frustrated, pissed off having missed the first huge leg down, nursing losses from the last few weeks, ranting at the insanity of the Fed, either averaging down into this rise or itching to go all in as soon as they see a hint of downward momo. Bulls are confident but either not long or long only a small portion of the size they want, not wanting to chase the rally higher and waiting for a retest/dip or looking to buy in the May-July timeframe.