Here’s my take on this.
I would be looking to short GLD. The risk/re is prudent at the numbers as follows:
I would short if it pulls back below ~181.5 using looks like 184 as a stop. Tgt would be 170. 4:1 r/r. The follow through if this were to happen, I have found is often times something like this… it migrates to whatever the 21ma is, on the daily, then bounces back to near 184, then continues down.
If gld goes to looks like 186? Then I look for the same thing. And I would be all over it if it does the fake breakout at all time highs. If it makes all time high, and trades below, entry is at 194.xx, tgt initially is 185 With 195 as stop.
I use hourly charts for entries into longer term holdings. My number 1 rule is not to be short if above the 50 ma, and not be long if below.
In this chart, the lighter yellow is a 50sma, the bold yellow is weighted 50. See the correlation, see the fake moves.
Best of luck!