I used to think this as well, but not anymore. Because bitcoin price nicely recovered, and because interest rates are 5%, any hole they had has now been filled. Plus, they own so many treasuries that the Fed would I believe work with them. Fed doesn't want a firesale of treasuries by anyone. This is why they open up swap lines to other countries and do whatever possible.
Tether co-operates nicely with the government to shut down any addresses they don't like and seize those funds. So its a win win for both sides.
And lastly, even if tether was to collapse, it would have no effect on bitcoin. There are other stablecoins, and more coming. Arthur Hayes talks alot about Aether that he is backing which I think is a stablecoin that will be backed by the big players in the crypto industry.
So it tether didn't die during this last bear market that took down FTX and Luna and all those lending platforms, I think the ship has sailed for it being taken down.
The solution to proving that Tether is legit is very simple. Make an audit. Is it that hard? If they have 90% in the treasuries that should not be hard to prove.
Important to mention that they have been promising an audit for what is it... 7 years now?
Why don't they do that? Because they are a fraud.
Cantor said they are holding lots of their treasuries, but Cantor only has like $15B AUM, so they definitely don't have all of Tethers alleged reserves.
Tether isn't doing an audit, but is doing an attestation. Which doesn't give legitimacy, only creates a sense of legitimacy. Exactly what a fraudulent scheme would do!
The "onboarding" of the government is to keep the from digging deep and revealing the truth. SBF was deep in with the government. So was Madoff.
You probably meant Ethena not Aether, which has the same problem as Luna. Your backing value of the stablecoin with volatile asset(ether), which is what Tether is doing as well, difference being ethena is decentralized.
I think Tether survived because market was going to bottom anyways at the time. If it kept going down and there were more redemptions, it might not have. But it did because the market had bottomed.
I am often wrong, but i actually did predict the bottom here on ET with almost surgical precision. (a fakeout up from 20k into bottom at 15k-ish, then violent pump to 55k; admittedly didn't expect new highs).
My point being that what meant to happen had already happened and was already priced in thus no further collapse.