Quote from Triple X:
I don't necessarily agree with the OP, however gold demand is being driven purely by speculators. Most of the gold is now going into GLD; they warehouse it as money comes into the ETF. Gold has very few industrial uses, at least that is not driving the price. Other commodities like platinum, copper, etc. have industrial uses which are driving the price. Oil, which is also being driven primarily by speculators, at least has some fundamental reason for going up. People constantly need to replace crude. Gold is purchased once, then held. When the buyers stop, gold will crash. Jimmy Rogers, who is an expert in commodties, also thinks the gold trade is close to being over, but is bullish on other metals.
This all happened before, Gold went from 200 - 850, and crashed back to 250 and stayed there for many years. Gold could go to 1000 first, but it will eventually drop back to 400 - 500 and stay there for many years, IMO.
I am constantly amazed at the ignorance of so many posters on ET. Wake up people, gold is not just a commodity. Stop thinking of it in terms of its uses. Gold IS a currency. You've just been conditioned to believe that the US is the worlds reserve currency as it has been through the majority of your lives. Gold has been the worlds reserve currency throughout history, save the period from 1971 till now. Short the hell out of it for all I care, but you will lose money. Like I said in a previous post to Sumosam, if you don't understand why something is going up, you have 2 options that won't cost you money. Sit on the sidelines or join the trend. Trading against a trend simply proves your lack of ability as a trader or investor. Remember there is only one point at which you will be right with a trade against the trend and that is at the end of that trend, yet there are literally hundreds of entry points along the trend that will make you money if you trade with it.
Both Gold and Silver HAVE been manipulated for a substantial period of time now, by those whose interests are not served by a rising gold price (because it is also a barometer of economic conditions). Whether you believe it or not, GATA has provided ample evidence of this. Therefore Gold is substantially undervalued at the moment. Bear in mind oil is at an inflation adjusted high, while Gold is still approx US$1,500 shy of this.
Personally I couldn't care less whether you believe me or not, I'm simply trying to assist those of you who for whatever reason seem unable to draw logical conclusions for yourself.
Short the hell out of it if you want, I'll be happy to take the other side of the trade, but don't say you didn't know. Gold's got far more chance of going to $3,000 than $400.

