You may be right Ivanovich but I think geopolitics and precious metal fundamentals might reassert themselves before then. Plus if stocks continue getting hammered we might see more flows back into commodities.
Contrary to popular opinion, I don't think the recent run in metals prices is speculative froth. Russia and China have both been building stocks heavily as an alternative to USD holdings. The UK looks like it's going to be building stocks again. Comex silver stocks are depleting fast. What many don't realise is that the silver ETF provides a convenient way to take silver deliveries without moving the price i.e. hand in the paper and take the physical. This is probably what Barclays has been doing with the HSBC warehouse stocks which proves that there's low reserves in London...
Contrary to popular opinion, I don't think the recent run in metals prices is speculative froth. Russia and China have both been building stocks heavily as an alternative to USD holdings. The UK looks like it's going to be building stocks again. Comex silver stocks are depleting fast. What many don't realise is that the silver ETF provides a convenient way to take silver deliveries without moving the price i.e. hand in the paper and take the physical. This is probably what Barclays has been doing with the HSBC warehouse stocks which proves that there's low reserves in London...
