Goal in 2015: $92k to $150k

Still using only 20% of buying power since I'm waiting for volatility to pick up. Until then, I will be holding on high yield stocks.


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Thanks to 'xandman' for the idea posting VaR report by IB.
This is VaR report for my account that my risk exposure is 2.8% of NAV.

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June and July were the worst months for portfolio - keeping on both oil and gold stocks, betting on earnings. Roughly, I lost 30% of total value. Since inception (Jan 2012), the below is the P&L comparison with S&P500 since I trade S&P500 stocks and options mainly:

Date ----------------------------- SPY --------------------- My account
Jan 2012 to Jul 2015 -------- +76.73% ----------------- +148.08%

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Lol, there's are traders out there with better records than buffett e.g.

Soros 30% plus for 30 yrs
Druckenmiller 30 % plus for 30 yrs
Peter Brandt 40% for 25 years

If one can say 30% for 30 years, he should make
1.3^30 = 2619.996 times.


40% for 25 years, he should make
1.4^25 = 4499.88 = 4500 times.

To compare those performances equally, let the length of investment be 50 years (from 30 to 80).

For 20%, 1.2^50 = 9100.438 (100K becomes 910M)
For 30%, 1.3^50 = 497929.2 (100K becomes 49792M)
For 40%, 1.4^50 = 20248916 (100K becomes 2024891M) which is bigger than small country's wealth

Note that stock market kept open for 400 years from Netherland. If there WAS any one with 20% outperformance trading logic, then he has all the wealth on earth NOW. Even Buffet and Gates should be broke now.

Therefore, I am sure no one HAD 20% logic for 400 years.
 
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