Obviously the tape disagrees with you.
I'll give you an example of how I used similar logic as you and got burned out of what turned out to be over a million bucks.
In 2000 I sold my AM seat at the CBOT. Seat prices were falling and for good reason. The CBOT had just spent 180 million on a new trading floor for the Treasuries and it was a white elephant by the day it opened. After all no need for a floor with the volume going to the screen. Plus the CBOT was on the hook for millions a year to Dow Jones in licensing fees for a DJ contract (pit traded YM) that was doing little volume in relation to it's cost. BrokerTec, CantorFitz and Eurex were all threatening to list Treasuries (they all eventually DID) and it seemed the CBOT monopoly on those products was at risk. Recently departed President Tom Donovan had received a 10 million dollar package unbeknownst to the rank and file. Pretty negative, eh? Well if I'd kept my seat my pro rata shares would be worth exactly ten times more (1.2 million) than what I sold the seat for. Betting on GM to go broke or the CBOT for that matter, is not the percentage bet but rather the anomaly.
I'll give you an example of how I used similar logic as you and got burned out of what turned out to be over a million bucks.
In 2000 I sold my AM seat at the CBOT. Seat prices were falling and for good reason. The CBOT had just spent 180 million on a new trading floor for the Treasuries and it was a white elephant by the day it opened. After all no need for a floor with the volume going to the screen. Plus the CBOT was on the hook for millions a year to Dow Jones in licensing fees for a DJ contract (pit traded YM) that was doing little volume in relation to it's cost. BrokerTec, CantorFitz and Eurex were all threatening to list Treasuries (they all eventually DID) and it seemed the CBOT monopoly on those products was at risk. Recently departed President Tom Donovan had received a 10 million dollar package unbeknownst to the rank and file. Pretty negative, eh? Well if I'd kept my seat my pro rata shares would be worth exactly ten times more (1.2 million) than what I sold the seat for. Betting on GM to go broke or the CBOT for that matter, is not the percentage bet but rather the anomaly.
Quote from niceneasy:
im sorry - im not buying ANY of this. the company is de facto bankrupt. burning about a half to a billion a month in cash . 300 odd billion in debt. on the hook for 10 or 30 billion for delphi which is a huge mess.
you can watch the market share go down literally by the hour.
the only product they have making any money are the suvs and NOBODY is buying those. thats only gonna get worse as oil goes up...they have a broad portfolio of cars that nobody wants that they have to continue producing to keep the union happy.
its bonds are junk. GM owes its bondholders about $113 billion, of which almost $15 billion falls due this year with an additional $27 billion scheduled for repayment next year. they only have 20 or so billion in the bank last time i checked a few months ago. what am i missing here?
they lose money every time they sell a car.
as for quality - a 10 year old toyota has less service issues than a brand new gm. more product recalls than any other manufacturer. save yugo lol. visit a gm factory parking lot for the real writing on the wall.
why ally with gm? could pick the bones over for a few cents on the dollar in a few years.
the employee buyouts are equivalent to rearranging the deck chairs on the titanic pre plunge.
the ceo is a bum as far as i am concerned. if they had any balls - they'd dividend out all the cash save for a few months operating expenses and then start negotiating with the unions. cut all the fat out of the model, kill all and any brands that arent profitable. but they wont - they will bleed to death slowly and then rely on taxpayers to bail them out. then they will do the same thing over again. just like the airlines. fuck the equity holders.fuck the bond holders. fuck the taxpayers. pay the management.
i dont get it. im not short or long so have no vested interests either way but who the hell would be buying htis p.o.s???
