Global Macro Trading Journal

Quote from Martinghoul:

Well, there's a whole bunch of providers out there (other than IB) that offer FX options. If I am not mistaken (I am not in the US, so take with a pinch of salt), people like Oanda do this and maybe some others.

Yes, OandA does offer box options but I am trying to get vanilla options. I looked at the CME website to see liquidity in euro options but it is almost non-existant, kindoff surprised me.

Is there any other way I can trade it through IB (changing brokers is too much of a hassle to just trade an idea at this moment). Maybe through some ETF or something (just rambling some thoughts) ??
 
Quote from gmst:
Yes, OandA does offer box options but I am trying to get vanilla options. I looked at the CME website to see liquidity in euro options but it is almost non-existant, kindoff surprised me.

Is there any other way I can trade it through IB (changing brokers is too much of a hassle to just trade an idea at this moment). Maybe through some ETF or something (just rambling some thoughts) ??
I am no IB expert, so I can't tell you with any degree of certainty. And yes, indeed, liquidity in CME FX futures is crap, let alone options on futures. But I don't think there's anything you can do on IB. The other name I keep hearing mentioned in the context of vanilla options is Saxo, but I have no real idea about them.
 
World may have changed in the last 48 hours.

China has moved to easing mode.

Local gov'ts are beginning to defy Beijing and lifting property restrictions. Beijing is buying bank shares. Gov't is also opening up the credit taps again.

Europe is not news anymore. Banks will be recapped, PIIGS will muddle along in misery.
 
Quote from gmst:

How can retail take a longer term (3-6 months) position on a currency like Euro through options? I know I can buy 3m euro 1.20 puts in interbank market as an institution, but as a retail trading through IB and having a small account, how do I buy a put option on Euro.

The basic idea is I want to play euro both long and short through spot, however want to have a core short medium term position - aimed at benefiting substantially by a euro collapse.

Any suggestions are welcome.

Options on FXE are fairly active.
 
Meh, just a worldwide risk on move. USD/JPY is actually moving rather mildly compared to everything else.

Story is China is back in easing mode.
 
Quote from Kassz007:

I think intervention is inevitable at some point if the situation continues as is. I've been shorting the JPY in small increments over the past couple of weeks going long USD/JPY and this week AUD/JPY.

These positions are quite small, but I want to be exposed in case the BOJ decides to do something. I can't see USD/JPY falling much further without Japan stepping in.

Best to lock-in some profits on this spike. Will leave a small position on both of these pairs in case the run continues, but I'm going to take a large majority off the table, especially the AUD/JPY long.
 
Ugly trade number out of China today. Beijing will be pumping full bore soon. Be prepared to wake up to several easing announcements (and corresponding big moves higher in ES, EWH, AUD) over the coming weeks. Like the Fed during 2007/08, these actions will provide excellent opportunities to reload at better prices. A cut in rates in China isn't solving this thing.
 
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