Global Macro Trading Journal
- Thread starter Daal
- Start date
...G20 summit in Cannes in November...
Out of all places in the world... they chose Cannes, who would've thought. No better place they could have picked to solve a crisis of nations living lavishly way beyond their means.
I imagine these clueless idiots will discuss how the PIGS needs austerity and how tough times are while stuffing themselves with truffled foie gras and Bretagne lobster, washing it down with a couple nebuchadnezzar Moets for good measure. Oh good times.
Out of all places in the world... they chose Cannes, who would've thought. No better place they could have picked to solve a crisis of nations living lavishly way beyond their means.
I imagine these clueless idiots will discuss how the PIGS needs austerity and how tough times are while stuffing themselves with truffled foie gras and Bretagne lobster, washing it down with a couple nebuchadnezzar Moets for good measure. Oh good times.
finally - it was always clear to everybody except politicians that this approach, i.e. Greece defaulting with max recovery of 50 cents on dollar combined with trillions in backstop money for other sovereign debt, has the lowest costs and is unavoidable.
this (2trn, banks material recap a la TARP and Greece debt relief) is HUGE news imo. Monday will be interesting...
not sure what it does to gold though. maybe the Friday's sell-off was in anticipation of something like that?
surely vols will go down so gold should go down but then, isn't this all simply printing money all over again? i guess gold will stay strong in the medium term with some sell-off next week...(?)
it should definitely help EURo as this looks like that politicians finally realized the gravity of problems and are about to act in a sensible way...
will USTs sell-off? probably not as they only know the way up ;-)
whatever happens it could be a nice trading week.
surely vols will go down so gold should go down but then, isn't this all simply printing money all over again? i guess gold will stay strong in the medium term with some sell-off next week...(?)
it should definitely help EURo as this looks like that politicians finally realized the gravity of problems and are about to act in a sensible way...
will USTs sell-off? probably not as they only know the way up ;-)
whatever happens it could be a nice trading week.
I wasn't really interested in the PMs on the way up now, or now on the way down. Yes, i had some silver calls a few months back that made some dollars and some gold puts now that are doing great - but both positions were laughably small. I just don't feel like I have any sort of edge trading these.
I suppose if there's some massive new sort of QE, it might get me interested on the long side. I'm no chartist, but silver looks like a broken bubble, as does copper. Gold may be on its way, but at this point is just back to levels from just a short time ago. I can't see buying any for more than a trade (thoughts always subject to change from the moment I hit "submit reply").
I'll add that it's similar to the way I feel about Apple. It may turn out to be a great investment over the next decade, but it's a big world out there and I'm just going to have to leave those profits for others and find something else for myself.
I suppose if there's some massive new sort of QE, it might get me interested on the long side. I'm no chartist, but silver looks like a broken bubble, as does copper. Gold may be on its way, but at this point is just back to levels from just a short time ago. I can't see buying any for more than a trade (thoughts always subject to change from the moment I hit "submit reply").
I'll add that it's similar to the way I feel about Apple. It may turn out to be a great investment over the next decade, but it's a big world out there and I'm just going to have to leave those profits for others and find something else for myself.