Ghost of If You Can Draw A Straight Line

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The lower limit of the June channel jibes with the upper limit of the next-longer channel from October '12. If we cannot drive back into the June channel, the lower limit of the October channel is currently at or about 3300, though this will change as time goes by since the line is on an upward pitch.

I've posted two versions of a weekly look. I believe the one with the smaller red channel was one you illustrated a while back. I think you've switched to the bigger one now. Can you post a weekly at some point just so I know I'm looking at this right?
 
Monthly view - if I'm doing this right it puts the whole thing in a different perspective.

Edit - so it looks like 3400 is the weekly mean and 3310 is the monthly mean.
 
I've posted two versions of a weekly look. I believe the one with the smaller red channel was one you illustrated a while back. I think you've switched to the bigger one now. Can you post a weekly at some point just so I know I'm looking at this right?

Your second is what I have. I guess we'll find out via price behavior which one is correct if and when price gets there.

It's also worth noting that a 10% correction would take us to 3366.

Edit: I've added the "top" appendix to the SLA-AMT and have uploaded it. Just use the link you have.
 
You could. We would all appreciate it, you know the instrument more than the rest of us.

I have my models, so I was just curious to know the direction going forward for Nasdaq-100 and how the methods would do for ES. A forum is a place to exchange ideas/thoughts/etc, so I thought I better write a question rather than keeping it in my mind.

Best to you in trading and in life in general!
 
According to AMT, enter reversals off the extremes, long off the lower, short off the upper, as was the case this morning.

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:-) . I was thinking of a Long/short/sideline type of answer, but thank you for the detailed answer. There are three charts in there, and the lines seem to be at an intersection. I was wondering which line it would follow, and when would one know.
 
:-) . I was thinking of a Long/short/sideline type of answer, but thank you for the detailed answer. There are three charts in there, and the lines seem to be at an intersection. I was wondering which line it would follow, and when would one know.

I could tell you, but then you'd want an explanation. It's easier to just read the material. It's only about three pages without the charts.
 
I have my models, so I was just curious to know the direction going forward for Nasdaq-100 and how the methods would do for ES. A forum is a place to exchange ideas/thoughts/etc, so I thought I better write a question rather than keeping it in my mind.

Best to you in trading and in life in general!

I'll play. I've never studied the ES and this took me about 5 minutes and I've been drinking a little. Take it for what its worth.

You may notice that on the the monthly chart price never makes any progress above the mean of the teal channel. On the weekly this is "corrected" by moving the top of the channel down so that the last two year's worth of data has a useful mean.
 
I could tell you, but then you'd want an explanation.

:) . In general you are correct, but in this particular case I was really interested only in the telling.

I would also like to add that I show up here from time to time because I like your writing and the posts of others. Not many people can write well like you do. In addition, a number of the quotes you shared in your posts are truly excellent!
 
I'll play. I've never studied the ES and this took me about 5 minutes and I've been drinking a little. Take it for what its worth.

You may notice that on the the monthly chart price never makes any progress above the mean of the teal channel. On the weekly this is "corrected" by moving the top of the channel down so that the last two year's worth of data has a useful mean.

Good work! Thanks.
 
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