Quote from SK0:
Hi Jack,
This is regarding PVT trading and practising annotation on daily stock charts as you suggested to me. Sorry to others if it is OT.
How do you cull quality stocks and narrow them down to a short hotlist in global markets where no providers give EPS and RS ranking? I assume you have not dropped them yet. What criterion you would recommend?
I believe that it is beneficial to manually annotate five cycles with >20% returns within the last six months for each stock in the hotlist and then rank them by % change in money velocity per day.
For global markets, the one-pager unusual volume correlation table is not relevant. Would you suggest one should follow your classic way to purchase a stock in the hotlist when its DU volume is reached in the first two hours and exit when estimated peak volume is hit?
Also, how would you use trailing stop for people who prefer to monitor on EOD basis?
Thanks in advance.
My lost post began with this quote.
A good set of references for this PVT application was presented and here I repeat them AND corrolate them with two other well known stock traders: WJO'N and Darvas.
WJO'N got his feet wet over 26 months where he increased his initial capital by 20 fold. 10 fold is known as an order of magnitude.
I took 100,000 dollar example in IBD MeetUp to 1.000,000 dollars as an example of an order of magnitude change. To get to 100,000 dollars a person could take 10,000 dollars to 100,000 dollars. PVT works with a universe as SKO states. This Universe criterion puts in play a use of volume as a leading indicator. The platform providers chose to call the volume measure "unusual volume". It is a daily cummulative volume meausre and as such represents a signal generator for the pattern of PVT.
A one page sheet illustrates the application of PVT in terms of signal applications coming from unusual volume.
WJO'N used QA to do his 20 fold increase in 26 months. See page 173 of "24 Essential Lessons for Investment Success"
Read Darvas's popular book on "box" trading. He operated in the million dollar range and the book was written as a consequence of requests from the media when he made the news. the first version was published "for the trade" and then it was made available to the public.
Culling stocks by Darvas, WJO'N or PVT practitioners is done the same way. A criteria is set and a Universe is built. All three used what data in FA was availalbe as they began. Today the job is simply the click on an icon thanks to the electronic era. Any market any where on any fractal can be clicked and a Universe appears. This was not possible for T666 at first. So he failed. then he did do it using the PVT Universe and failed to publish his successful results. we only get the humor of hyis failure; this is important. Sappjason is a T666 follower and he gets the consequences of following T666.
The logic of using PVT has major components: sorting a Universe sets up the signal system for measurring the cycle of the PVT trading (it is a 2 to 5 day cycle when making money is considered) Next comes using the signals effectively and efficiently. Three charts are used: daily, 30 minute and five minute. This is the resolution aspect of PVT.
Currently the first quarter of 2010 yielded an annual rate of income on 27K or 150,000 dollars a year. In the 2nd quarter this rose to 250,000 a year. Two losses were encountered in 62 trades in the first quarter; one was a wash. No stops are used. MADA is used.
I did a session on stops in the IBDmeetup. There were 12 types of stop strategies presented using tables, Web references and full blown transcribed examples. The bottom half of the IAS is devoted to the method recommended. Further, in ET, I have posted IN ADVANCE the use of this approach. The stops were there they were not hit but their trailing setting were without flaw for the purpose of using stops.
For SKO the one pager is not relalent; for PVT traders the one pager can be used successfully thoughout the world.