Get The Hell Out: Part II

i don't remember the exact strike but the near mnth puts,in the oex,probably octobers in the 87 crash,closed at an 1/8,$12.50,the friday before the crash and traded $60 on monday,one guy lost $50 million in short puts and left the clearing firm holding the bag after they took his $3 mil in his limited liability corporation, that is how fast it can happen
 
Quote from jack hershey:

The OP is making very good points.

I rarely post in the ES thread but i did on friday when the ES dropped below 370.

If you get a chance look at the C span senate hearings on the commod commissioners. What you will find out is that the senators cannot even ask Q's and the commissioners are dumbed down totally and they have no staffing or budget.

The sovereign money section and the "new capital going into oil" section were the most revealing.

Most of the federal hearings designed to shore up regulation or overcite are all haywire by now.

What is in the air now hasn't happened for over 50 years.
I was born in the Hoover admin and lived knowledgeably through the crawl out from the Great Depression.

This is not the time for anyone to go on bullshitting himself that he knows how to trade any market.

The electronics of trading the markets came of age before '87 and at that time all smart money was able to handle the leading indicators if it wasn't BS'ing itself. There were some very lucky people, too. It took a lot to run an excellent C&C from the ridges and it was clearly possible to call the shots within a day of the critical moments. Some market tests hit the marks as many as four times on the way into and out of the trauma.

Don't bullshit yourself if you haven't got what it takes at these times. Don't be a Babak or mark brown etc....

NB: Go back and read the run up from people explaining it to Nitro when he was on his way to blowing out in December.


Without commenting on Nitro, because I have no idea what happened or way, thanks for the wise words, Jack.
 
Quote from ammo:

i don't remember the exact strike but the near mnth puts,in the oex,probably octobers in the 87 crash,closed at an 1/8,$12.50,the friday before the crash and traded $60 on monday,one guy lost $50 million in short puts and left the clearing firm holding the bag after they took his $3 mil in his limited liability corporation, that is how fast it can happen

That is unbelievable.

I will say this; I would not be confident using much leverage in waters like these.

But if I did, it would be with options, and definitely not margin.
 
Quote from ByLoSellHi:

That is unbelievable.

I will say this; I would not be confident using much leverage in waters like these.

But if I did, it would be with options, and definitely not margin.

Personally, I think that is the key to wealth. An 18% average return per year will double your money every 4 years. 36% will do it in two years. You don't have to be highly leveraged, or fully invested at all times to have a very nice chunk of money.

Unfortunately many are impatient and want 18% a week or month. That need for GREED gets them clobbered. Those are the guys that blow up their accounts during tough times and commit suicide after they lost everything. I have no pity for them because they were seeking more from the market than can be reasonably expected. Greed will always eventually screw you, and there will always be someone smarter than you figuring out a way to take your money.

Preservation of capital is key. It always has been, and always will be.
 
Quote from staffpro:

wow that video is just lol...........

He claims, "next president must first and foremost do something about the economy..."

Well, I've got some bad news for you. There's nothing that can be done about the US economy!

To put the US back onto a growing and healthy economic track, we'd need to come up with "something we could make" or a "service we could provide"... to the benefit of many American workers. But anything involving labor will be made cheaply overseas. Any significant service can also be provided more cheaply from overseas.... unless it's "service at the point of consumption".

Of course, the Gummint will run ever bigger deficits and the Fed will run the money-pump on steroids. GDP will be measured in "prices paid for goods and services"... which the Gummint will call "growth"... but it's really just inflation.

With our mountains of debt, vulnerability to oil supplies and prices and the Boomer demands upon Social Security and Medicare, the future of the US economy is stagnant/declining and inflationary. :mad:
 
Quote from HolyGrail:

Personally, I think that is the key to wealth. An 18% average return per year will double your money every 4 years. 36% will do it in two years. You don't have to be highly leveraged, or fully invested at all times to have a very nice chunk of money.

AFAIK, it's not a return issue. This is a superb trading market, a real blessing for seasoned traders.

My concern is which broker will go down next so I can pull my money out asap.

I don't think there are so many active traders at this point to support the expensive infrastructure of all brokers out there.

Bill
 
Quote from intradaybill:
I don't think there are so many active traders at this point to support the expensive infrastructure of all brokers out there.
Hmm stock market volumes across the globe were at record highs in Q1 and are still relatively high. Those brokers that stick to providing trading services and did not load up on junk bond debt should be doing well.
 
Quote from makloda:

Hmm stock market volumes across the globe were at record highs in Q1 and are still relatively high. Those brokers that stick to providing trading services and did not load up on junk bond debt should be doing well.

True, but are you aware that only in the US there are twice as many funds as individual stocks?

Electronic trading makes operations very expensive. You need to constantly update software, keep up with changes and employ a good number of highly paid IT professionals to keep your business going.

Compare that to 10 years ago. Just a few brokers paid mostly on commission, a telephone switching system, bloomberg or something less expensive and a couple of secretaries and back office people. You could start a business like that with 100k down. Minimal running expenses too.

Big names will fall soon. Revenues do not cover expenses anywhere near.

Bill
 
Quote from tradestrong:

Do you know how asanine that sounds? "The Fed doesn't care about the economy, they only care about their friends from the investment banks"? That is one of the most absurd things I've ever heard anybody say.

The last time I checked, the sucess of the investment banks depends on the economy. They are all intertwined. Only in a fantasy world can you separate them into their own little distinct non-correlated entities.

You sound like those conspiracists that also believe the only reason we went into Iraq is for oil.

Of freakn' course the Fed cares about the economy. Their jobs depend on how well they do. Their place in history depends on how well they are perceived to have done. They aren't out bailing out organizations because they are "buddy, buddy" with them. They are doing it because they perceive the failure to act as a greater risk than acting.

Lost........
 
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