Get long

That's another position, not msft.
Long vol/ long delta.
lvld
via shorting the puts.
it uses time decay and the vix dropping.

what about on "200 lot bull position in NDX/short futures against. Max gain of 2.4 on Feb4 and 3.3 terminal." what does that mean?
 
what about on "200 lot bull position in NDX/short futures against. Max gain of 2.4 on Feb4 and 3.3 terminal." what does that mean?
200 contracts which he has hedged. If the naz takes off he makes $2.40/contract by Feb 4. If he keeps it open and the naz stays up, he makes $3.3/contract at expiration.
 
TSLA worries me.
It should have rallied more today.
It can tank the indexes easily.
The Fed is nothing, if TSLA comes in gloomy, watch out below.

It's a poor correlation to NDX. MSFT much bigger impact than TSLA. GOOGL and AMZN are the drivers next week. TSLA's had huge deliveries in the last quarter.
 
Last edited:
200 contracts which he has hedged. If the naz takes off he makes $2.40/contract by Feb 4. If he keeps it open and the naz stays up, he makes $3.3/contract at expiration.
2.4 mil. It's 200 lots of NDX (spread). That's truly best case on LTD and terminally it's a max of 3.3, but I won't get close to that, even assuming a 15,200 pin, as there would be residual value on the Feb4s on last trading day and I won't want to carry the risk of the other tenors once the Feb4 leg goes off.
 
2.4 mil. It's 200 lots of NDX (spread). That's truly best case on LTD and terminally it's a max of 3.3, but I won't get close to that, even assuming a 15,200 pin, as there would be residual value on the Feb4s on last trading day and I won't want to carry the risk of the other tenors once the Feb4 leg goes off.

The only time a pin is possible (pin = terminal value) occurs on serial expirations that settle to cash at the open on Friday (Thursday as LTD).
 
Step 1 is to understand what dest says at least half the time. I'm currently at 5%.

I understand what he is saying at a 40% level.

https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/get-long.363639/page-8#post-5530423

He had a huge position looking for that 14150 target. He did not see it at the time, cut it, and re-positioned.

He is a better trader than I, but I do understand one thing...He thrives in this high IV-type market. It's like a field of nectar for him, where bees don't sting him...They ask to be stung by him.
 
Back
Top