Genius idea selling puts on SPX??

Its an awful awful idea on every levels.

If you feel compelled to sell garbage,do a split strike fly or a 1 x2..At least you can make real money if you are lucky..

Here's the real issue,and Im quoting William Eckhardt.

"The problem in a nutshell is that human nature does not operate to maximize gain but rather to maximize the chance of gain".

Selling garbage puts is a suckers bet,and Im pretty dam sure I have lost more money selling that shit than anybody on this site...

Can you share some details of what the awful awful thing that actually happens is? Just characterizing it as "selling garbage puts" provides nothing of use to anyone. (I don't disagree with you; I would just like to know why bad stuff happens when you do that. Knowing the details of those failure modes can come in handy elsewhere.)
 
I've got a friend who does 0-day ICs on $SPXW.X or SPY from 1 to 3 times a week, somewhere in that delta range; sets the initial stops at 1-1.5x the max profit. Gets stopped out 5-10% of the time, does pretty well otherwise (mostly lets them expire.)
With what spread width?
 
First and foremost,I guaranty you will be a net loser....Those .05 options will go to 5 bucks sooner or later..

Secondly,whats your return on selling that 5 delta put??

Im not 100% positive on how much cash you have to put up,but Im guessing you would be lucky to annualise 5% return....Im not taking risk to make a max 5% annualized return...

Rarely is the premium collected woth the risk of selling tails
 
First and foremost,I guaranty you will be a net loser....Those .05 options will go to 5 bucks sooner or later..

This is why you have stops to get you out if it goes against you. Again, I'm not arguing against your assertion; I just want to see if there's any reality to it.

Secondly,whats your return on selling that 5 delta put??

Last time I sold one of those iron condors I've mentioned, it was $700 against the risk of an equal max loss, as I recall.

Im not 100% positive on how much cash you have to put up,but Im guessing you would be lucky to annualise 5% return....Im not taking risk to make a max 5% annualized return...

Rarely is the premium collected woth the risk of selling tails

So far, you haven't mentioned anything that makes the risk different from any other trade. A 5% chance of ending up ITM against a 5% possible return has the same overall RRR as a 30% chance of ITM for a 30% return and so on. What, according to you, is the additional or different risk factor here? All I'm hearing from you so far is "I've lost a lot of money on it", but that doesn't mean much. My buddy has been doing these 0-day trades for years, and they go against him about as often as delta would lead one to expect (between 1 in 10 and 1 in 20.)
 
And how much money does your buddy make selling garbage options??

If you are in the business to make .05-.10,then knock yourself out..

And I mean that literally







This is why you have stops to get you out if it goes against you. Again, I'm not arguing against your assertion; I just want to see if there's any reality to it.



Last time I sold one of those iron condors I've mentioned, it was $700 against the risk of an equal max loss, as I recall.



So far, you haven't mentioned anything that makes the risk different from any other trade. A 5% chance of ending up ITM against a 5% possible return has the same overall RRR as a 30% chance of ITM for a 30% return and so on. What, according to you, is the additional or different risk factor here? All I'm hearing from you so far is "I've lost a lot of money on it", but that doesn't mean much. My buddy has been doing these 0-day trades for years, and they go against him about as often as delta would lead one to expect (between 1 in 10 and 1 in 20.)
 
And how much money does your buddy make selling garbage options??

If you are in the business to make .05-.10,then knock yourself out..

And I mean that literally

So you don't actually have one single rational thought about it - just your incompetence, anger, fear, and running your mouth when questioned about it.

Thanks for playing, and have a nice day.
 
Actually I agree this is not a good strategy at all. This, in fact, is not my idea, it's from someone I know. The thing is, you can't really argue with 2X stop will provide some protection.

Yes yes I know stop may not work well, but still possibility of blowing up an account is very low (but again, almost blowing up can certainly happen, when S&P down almost 5% in a few seconds or something).
 
The genius idea is actually selling puts approximately 60 DTE, delta 5-10, and managing them early. I try to keep negative deltas at all time and have established target ratios of theta, delta and Vega. To accomplish this, I also sell calls about 45 DTE at 10 delta.

The genius members of this forum have been forecasting my demise for years, but I’m still here and thriving.
 
You really believe selling garbage options is an efficient use of capital??

Show us the numbers..

What kind of returns can you put up??

Trade direction,trade vol,but for the love of money don't sell garbage options...There is no upside..













So you don't actually have one single rational thought about it - just your incompetence, anger, fear, and running your mouth when questioned about it.

Thanks for playing, and have a nice day.
So you don't actually have one single rational thought about it - just your incompetence, anger, fear, and running your mouth when questioned about it.

Thanks for playing, and have a nice day.
 
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