As to the market conditions there can be doubt they are changing. I have an etrade account filled with crazy stuff and a more stable large account and an IRA the stable large account and the IRA has barely budged and the E trade account has undergone a colonoscopy.
The question is why? Is it the chip shortage> Partially. Is it the value of these tech stks for sure partially... But there seems to be something ese going on. Consider our fixation with the 10 year bond. That was such a joke anybody notice bong yield lately? It backed off a lot and yet the stks keep going down-- so that was cover, the market always seeks cover for what it wants to do...
A HUGE rotation into heavy lifting I'm afraid.... Usually these cycles come through so quickly that by the time you figure out which larger stocks to buy the move is over and everyone is back in the high tech pool. Maybe not this time... We know that by the types of stks that were running NFT's --> Please! These various Bitcoin names and such...
However I think the single biggest contributor to the market conditions is too many SPAC's and IPO's! Just too many.
Something else-- remember stock picking as gambling and vice versa? Well some folks think the " Stimmy " checks this time are going straight into gambling and passing on the stock market.... That should ultimately be great news for the Draftkings of the world (MGM) but it has taken the buying power out of what is actually a very sleepy low vol market. The market should be going sideways not down and instead the Naz is going Down-- Where is the new money? 1/2 is in the big stocks and the other half is betting with BetMGM and others on the NCAA....
The question is why? Is it the chip shortage> Partially. Is it the value of these tech stks for sure partially... But there seems to be something ese going on. Consider our fixation with the 10 year bond. That was such a joke anybody notice bong yield lately? It backed off a lot and yet the stks keep going down-- so that was cover, the market always seeks cover for what it wants to do...
A HUGE rotation into heavy lifting I'm afraid.... Usually these cycles come through so quickly that by the time you figure out which larger stocks to buy the move is over and everyone is back in the high tech pool. Maybe not this time... We know that by the types of stks that were running NFT's --> Please! These various Bitcoin names and such...
However I think the single biggest contributor to the market conditions is too many SPAC's and IPO's! Just too many.
Something else-- remember stock picking as gambling and vice versa? Well some folks think the " Stimmy " checks this time are going straight into gambling and passing on the stock market.... That should ultimately be great news for the Draftkings of the world (MGM) but it has taken the buying power out of what is actually a very sleepy low vol market. The market should be going sideways not down and instead the Naz is going Down-- Where is the new money? 1/2 is in the big stocks and the other half is betting with BetMGM and others on the NCAA....
- Something strange is happening in the stock market. Many have recently pointed to a Treasury yield hostage situation, where stocks have largely moves in response to their fixed-income counterparts. When bond yields moved up, high-growth names sold off, but even as the rates came down over the past three days, the tech sector was still under pressure. Some are even pointing to worries about the Fed hiking rates in far-off 2023, while others are mentioning frothy valuations and a rotation into industrial names, though trading volumes in the sector have also been softer in recent weeks.
- In fact, NYSE volumes have been 80% of the 30-day average, while Nasdaq activity has been 90% of its average, remarkably low given the declines in certain sectors. Another example: WSB/Reddit darling GameStop stumbled 34%after earnings on Wednesday, while only 23M shares changed hands, well short of the 30-day average of 34M shares. "It seems to show that the retail customer has walked away,"said Matt Maley from Miller Tabak. "The question is, why? Is it higher rates? Concerns about lockdowns? Or are they betting on March Madness?"