Cramer says today's RKT is Tangier Outlet 30% short he's got the steak juice on his chin!
GBA's "2021 Stock Phantasma"
- Thread starter stonedinvestor
- Start date
I'm gonna disagree with Cramer.
I'm not buying the whole "Boeing is a buy" mantra.
How many jets are still being stored in the desert?
I'm sure Boeing is getting some new orders, but I have a feeling travel both domestic and international is gonna have to pick up considerably before the major U.S., Asian, and European flagged carriers start ordering new planes.
Last I looked UAL was burning $120MM/day in cash.
Ditto the rest of them.
I don't think the new jet pipeline is opening anytime soon.
Sorry Jimbo, I say Boeing's a short near term.
$233
Of course logic doesn't apply to stocks anymore, so who knows.
Maybe Robinhood and StockTwits will declare a jet shortage.
I'm not buying the whole "Boeing is a buy" mantra.
How many jets are still being stored in the desert?
I'm sure Boeing is getting some new orders, but I have a feeling travel both domestic and international is gonna have to pick up considerably before the major U.S., Asian, and European flagged carriers start ordering new planes.
Last I looked UAL was burning $120MM/day in cash.
Ditto the rest of them.
I don't think the new jet pipeline is opening anytime soon.
Sorry Jimbo, I say Boeing's a short near term.
$233
Of course logic doesn't apply to stocks anymore, so who knows.
Maybe Robinhood and StockTwits will declare a jet shortage.
-Around the ipo- SA Piece was properly cautious.
The 17 million shares outstanding following the offering value equity of the company at $340 million. Given the offering proceeds and a pre-IPO cash position of around $3 million, I peg the enterprise valuation just below the $300 million mark.
The numbers do not look that impressive with pro-forma numbers revealing $14.8 million in sales in 2018 on which the company reported a $1.8 million operating loss. Sales actually fell to $11.9 million in 2019, with operating losses essentially tripling to $5.2 million as this is clearly a source of concern.
The company has seen strong momentum on the back of the pandemic, with sales up two-thirds so far this year to $16.1 million, that is the first three-quarters of the year. The company demonstrated on great operating leverage, with the increase in sales translating one-on-one into higher operating earnings, as the company reported an operating profit of $2.8 million.
Based on these numbers, the company might be on track to generate approximately $20 million in sales and post operating profits of $4 million. This implies a 15 time sales multiple and sky-high earnings multiple. Given the 2019 trends, I have concerns that the 2020 results might only be so strong as a result of the pandemic, giving the company a window of opportunity to public.
All of this valuation discussion is taking place before we take into account a big pop higher in the share price on the first days of trading, with shares now trading hands at $31. At this price, the operating asset valuation approaches the half a billion mark, pushing up sales multiples to 25 times sales, a very steep multiple as I fail to see a real sustainable growth rate.
That said, the company has taken some initiative to bolster the growth rates with new titles, as lack of quarterly revenue details make it hard to disentangle the impact of the pandemic from real commercial traction.
And Now?
Truth be told I see the potential of the firm, as the company is gaining traction in a rapidly growing e-sports category as racing is gaining popularity with Formula 1 rapidly becoming an ever stronger global brand. That being said the size of the business is relatively small and while 2020 growth was very spectacular, it appears that much or perhaps all of it is driven by the pandemic.
All of this, in combination with a very steep valuation at 25 times sales is what makes me quite cautious here. Given the relative small operations and focus on racing and a few titles, reliance risks are quite high. Furthermore, the company relies largely on a big distributor as well, as well as on online outlets to drive traffic to its games. If we add the risks of being a controlled listing and additional costs related to the offering weighing relatively high on the firm, I am very cautious here and now.///
Some wise words --
My thoughts: this particular earnings report- post IPO- after a fall... This is the one you juice with some announcement-- HEY DEAL WITH DKING YOU CAN NOW BET ON THIS!!!<-- Just a prediction but this would be the report to get people excited about your idea not to say Oh boo hoo we are losing money....
The point is they raised quite a bit of money- didn't they? and booked that $ and they have bought 2 companies in short order- i like that!!! That works... They have stuff to talk about!!!
Maybe it's just me...
The 17 million shares outstanding following the offering value equity of the company at $340 million. Given the offering proceeds and a pre-IPO cash position of around $3 million, I peg the enterprise valuation just below the $300 million mark.
The numbers do not look that impressive with pro-forma numbers revealing $14.8 million in sales in 2018 on which the company reported a $1.8 million operating loss. Sales actually fell to $11.9 million in 2019, with operating losses essentially tripling to $5.2 million as this is clearly a source of concern.
The company has seen strong momentum on the back of the pandemic, with sales up two-thirds so far this year to $16.1 million, that is the first three-quarters of the year. The company demonstrated on great operating leverage, with the increase in sales translating one-on-one into higher operating earnings, as the company reported an operating profit of $2.8 million.
Based on these numbers, the company might be on track to generate approximately $20 million in sales and post operating profits of $4 million. This implies a 15 time sales multiple and sky-high earnings multiple. Given the 2019 trends, I have concerns that the 2020 results might only be so strong as a result of the pandemic, giving the company a window of opportunity to public.
All of this valuation discussion is taking place before we take into account a big pop higher in the share price on the first days of trading, with shares now trading hands at $31. At this price, the operating asset valuation approaches the half a billion mark, pushing up sales multiples to 25 times sales, a very steep multiple as I fail to see a real sustainable growth rate.
That said, the company has taken some initiative to bolster the growth rates with new titles, as lack of quarterly revenue details make it hard to disentangle the impact of the pandemic from real commercial traction.
And Now?
Truth be told I see the potential of the firm, as the company is gaining traction in a rapidly growing e-sports category as racing is gaining popularity with Formula 1 rapidly becoming an ever stronger global brand. That being said the size of the business is relatively small and while 2020 growth was very spectacular, it appears that much or perhaps all of it is driven by the pandemic.
All of this, in combination with a very steep valuation at 25 times sales is what makes me quite cautious here. Given the relative small operations and focus on racing and a few titles, reliance risks are quite high. Furthermore, the company relies largely on a big distributor as well, as well as on online outlets to drive traffic to its games. If we add the risks of being a controlled listing and additional costs related to the offering weighing relatively high on the firm, I am very cautious here and now.///
Some wise words --
My thoughts: this particular earnings report- post IPO- after a fall... This is the one you juice with some announcement-- HEY DEAL WITH DKING YOU CAN NOW BET ON THIS!!!<-- Just a prediction but this would be the report to get people excited about your idea not to say Oh boo hoo we are losing money....
The point is they raised quite a bit of money- didn't they? and booked that $ and they have bought 2 companies in short order- i like that!!! That works... They have stuff to talk about!!!
Maybe it's just me...
i chased this wsb stuff last time and lost small bits of money in several places because i was always a little late...someone here has to read reddit and call it before it surges. i also learned my nerves couldn't hold up to this particular form of craziness.
HTOO Update** This is a cool company!
Fusion Fuel announces MoU with CEEES to develop green hydrogen infrastructure 09:20 HTOO
Description
Fusion Fuel Green PLC focuses on the production of hydrogen in Portugal, Southern Europe, and Morocco. The company intends to provide hydrogen generators to clients that operate their own green hydrogen plants; green hydrogen as an output from green hydrogen plants; and operational and monitoring services of green hydrogen plants using fusion fuel hydrogen generators. It serves natural gas networks and grids, oil refineries, ammonia producers, regulators, and related government departments. The company was founded in 2018 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.
Fusion Fuel announces MoU with CEEES to develop green hydrogen infrastructure 09:20 HTOO
Description
Fusion Fuel Green PLC focuses on the production of hydrogen in Portugal, Southern Europe, and Morocco. The company intends to provide hydrogen generators to clients that operate their own green hydrogen plants; green hydrogen as an output from green hydrogen plants; and operational and monitoring services of green hydrogen plants using fusion fuel hydrogen generators. It serves natural gas networks and grids, oil refineries, ammonia producers, regulators, and related government departments. The company was founded in 2018 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.
janes we live in a better place. A world without reddit or robin hood.
Stoney Lesson # 710)
When is a name a good name? I always say you ought to be able to say the name of the company and then " On My Chin "I may of gotten this from an Office episode... but it works- it keeps you of of trouble.
As in: Pardon me Sir, You have Splunk on your chin.
<Splunk price target lowered to $215 from $240 at Goldman Sachs >
Stoney Lesson # 710)
When is a name a good name? I always say you ought to be able to say the name of the company and then " On My Chin "I may of gotten this from an Office episode... but it works- it keeps you of of trouble.
As in: Pardon me Sir, You have Splunk on your chin.
<Splunk price target lowered to $215 from $240 at Goldman Sachs >
Genius Brands CEO: Sneak Peek drove increase for Kartoon Channel! key metrics 09:26 GNUS Genius Brands…
What's That In Granny's Shorts? It's Purple!
Purple Innovation: Guidance 'true,' QTD not tracking better than guidance
What's That In Granny's Shorts? It's Purple!
Purple Innovation: Guidance 'true,' QTD not tracking better than guidance
I am pleased to share with you, for the first time, the series premiere date for Stan Lee’s Superhero Kindergarten, starring Arnold Schwarzenegger, has now been set for APRIL 23. The show will be distributed on Kartoon Channel! across Apple TV, Apple iOS, Android TV, Android Mobile, Amazon Prime, Amazon Fire, Roku, Tubi, Dish, Sling, Samsung smart TVs, and LG smart TVs.
A broad marketing campaign managed by our recent acquisition, Chizcomm Media, will begin shortly across TV, Influencer, Display Ads, Video Ads, Social Media, and yes, of course, Stan Lee and Arnold Schwarzenegger’s diverse social platforms.
We were delighted by the results, and we asked ourselves if they would be retained at the end of the Sneak Peek weekend, and would we be able to experience growth from our baseline? The answer was...YES.
4. FREE!
We are a streaming service like Netflix, or HBO Max, or Disney+, or Discovery+, but unlike any of the above, or other subscription services, KARTOON CHANNEL! IS FREE!
*We do operate a commercial-free product only on Amazon Prime for a very narrow tranche of our viewership.
We are a streaming service like Netflix, or HBO Max, or Disney+, or Discovery+, but unlike any of the above, or other subscription services, KARTOON CHANNEL! IS FREE!
*We do operate a commercial-free product only on Amazon Prime for a very narrow tranche of our viewership.
OH VAN!- KArtoon channel <---
Led by industry legend Margaret Loesch, former President of Marvel Entertainment, The Jim Henson Productions, Fox Kids, and the Hub, Kartoon Channel! continues to attract the most accomplished and successful broadcasters, producers and marketers in the kids business today including our brilliant and talented GM, Jon Ollwerther. Alongside both of them is Chief Content Officer, the former President of Walt Disney Television, David Neuman.
MAN!
Led by industry legend Margaret Loesch, former President of Marvel Entertainment, The Jim Henson Productions, Fox Kids, and the Hub, Kartoon Channel! continues to attract the most accomplished and successful broadcasters, producers and marketers in the kids business today including our brilliant and talented GM, Jon Ollwerther. Alongside both of them is Chief Content Officer, the former President of Walt Disney Television, David Neuman.
MAN!