Safehold(SAFE)
We’ll start with Safehold, a pioneer in the ground lease segment of the real estate investment trust sector. Ground leases are way for landowners to ‘unlock value,’ by permitting long-term tenants to build on and make improvements to land holdings, with the stipulation that all such development will revert to the property owner when the lease ends. The company offers long-term ground leases, for up to 99 years. Safehold has a $4.5 billion portfolio of such ground lease properties.
That portfolio brought the company $47 million in revenue in 3Q21, the last reported, for a 24% year-over-year gain, and the fifth quarter in a row of sequential gains. EPS came in at 38 cents, beating the forecast by 8.5% and growing 35% yoy.
Safehold has properties across the US, but in recent weeks has been moving to expand its footprint in the South and Southwest. The company on February 10 closed a ground lease in the Nashville area that will capitalize a $128.4 million multifamily development – and that marks the company’s fourth major ground lease in the Nashville area. On February 11, Safehold closed its third ground lease in Phoenix, Arizona, for $54 million. That property will be developed as student housing for Arizona State.
Despite the positive developments, Safehold's stock has been falling, and is down 18% year-to-date. However, according to Morgan Stanley analyst Richard Hill, the selloff in SAFE is unwarranted.
“Our work indicates SAFE shares are significantly undervalued... The market fails to recognize SAFE's growth potential, reflected in 2021 underperformance as growth outperformed and a challenging start to '22 as bond proxies underperform given a sharp rise in rates. The company is targeting aggressive growth… SAFE laid out a growth target in 4Q20 to double the size of their portfolio to $6.4bn by the end of 2023. Over the longer term, internal growth can contribute significantly to value: its leases yield 3% and typically have 2% annual rent bumps with periodic CPI look-back adjustments capped between 3.0-3.5% to mitigate inflation,” Hill explained.
Hill’s comments back up his Overweight (i.e. Buy) rating, and his $150 price target indicates potential for ~132% share appreciation in the next 12 months
-->Safehold reports Q3 EPS 38c, consensus 41c 07:32 SAFE Reports Q4 revenue $52M, consensus $53.02M.
Stk misses earn and goes up.....
Safehold Inc. (SAFE)-- An IRA stk.
65.00+2.47(+3.95%)<----------------?
At close: February 15 04:00PM EST
65.00+0.03(+0.05%)
After hours:Feb 15, 04:00PM EST