There's a couple things about Este Lauder.
Right now, even though it has been beaten into glue.... the PE remains pretty high.
1)I went back and looked, and EL has rarely (if ever) not climbed after their November quarterly reports.
2) For whatever reason, cosmetic companies do well in times of turmoil. We can hypothesize theories all day long as to why that's true... but who cares from a stock picking standpoint, it is what it is.
3) And this is the biggest one of all. EL generates nearly 25% of its revenue in the Pacific Rim. Primarily China. For all the blah blah blah we get regarding China, the people there are on the move.
Note this:
Domestically, there are forecast to be 190 million railway trips within China as well as 21 million air journeys. Fliggy, the online travel site from Alibaba Group Holding (HK:9988) (BABA) , says there were six times the number of domestic bookings made this year vs. last year, when China was still laboring under the highly disruptive campaign to eliminate Covid. Fliggy says international travel bookings are 20 times the figure from 2022, when it was virtually impossible for Chinese travelers to leave the country.
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So... even though I don't like the chart and I don't like the PE.... I think EL is gonna report a blowout quarter early next month and it'll be above $160 by years end.
VZ UPGRADE---> ESTE LAUDER $141.21