Top 25 tactical trades with recommended option trades for next 3 months of earnings - GS
Jan. 11, 2024 11:28 AM ET
S&P 500 Index (SPX)SPY,
TGT,
AAPL,
SRE,
IVV,
EBAY,
AMD,
KLAC,
WM,
SHW,
ROL,
BF.B,
REGN,
STT,
HIG,
CF,
AOS,
VOO,
BKU,
GWRE,
POST,
PAGP,
LDOS,
IBP,
SP500,
RBLX,
UPST,
YOU,
RELYBy:
Monica L. Correa, SA News Editor
13 Comments
Goldman Sachs exhibited its 25 most out-of-consensus U.S. stock opportunities for earnings season by equity analysts’ estimates and qualitative comments and their recommendations on options trades.
In a Goldman Sachs Derivatives Research report, analysts said that the top 25 tactical trades recommendations have outperformed the S&P 500 (
SP500) (
SPY) (
IVV) (
VOO) by 2.1% annualized, across 1,175 trades and over the past 12 years, “but would have outperformed by an annualized 5.6% if we skipped names repeated from the prior quarter.”
Goldman analysts expect mixed performance for U.S. stocks this quarter’s earnings season as investors are crowded into single stock call options without many incremental buyers.
“While earnings are likely to benefit from the two-month decline in interest
rate expectations, investors may be disappointed as analysts/corporates are typically slow to incorporate these changes in their models,” they wrote.
These are the companies with the most out-of-consensus upside for the next three months with shares that are expected to move. The options chosen are the monthly expiry that is closest to the first out of the money calls and puts.
Buy calls on the stocks below at month and strike listed:
- Target Corp. (TGT) - Earnings date: Feb. 28 - Options: March, strike at 145, and 5% cost.
- Installed Building (IBP) - Earnings date: Feb. 22 - Options: March, strike at 190, and 6.3% cost.
- Hartford Financial (HIG) - Earnings date: Feb. 1 - Options: Feb., strike at 85, and 1.4% cost.
- State Street (STT) - Earnings date: Jan. 19 - Options: Feb., strike at 80, and 2% cost.
- Regeneron Pharma (REGN) - Earnings date: Feb. 2 - Options: Feb., strike at 910, and 3.2% cost.
- Leidos Holdings (LDOS) - Earnings date: Feb. 14 - Options: Feb., strike at 110, and 3.6% cost.
- Waste Management (WM) - Earnings date: Feb. 12 - Options: Feb., strike at 180, and 2.2% cost.
- CF Industries (CF) - Earnings date: Feb. 15 - Options: Feb., strike at 80, and 3.1% cost.
- Sherwin-Williams (SHW) - Earnings: Jan. 25 - Options: Feb., strike at 300, and 3.3% cost.
- Post Holdings (POST) - Earnings: Feb. 2 - Options: Feb., strike at 95, and 2.1% cost.
- Apple Inc. (AAPL) - Earnings: Feb. 1 - Options: Feb., strike at 190, and 2% cost.
- Advanced Micro (AMD) - Earnings Jan. 31 - Options: Feb., strike at 150, and 5.6% cost.
- Guidewire Software (GWRE) - Earnings March 6 - Options: April, strike at 120, and 3.4% cost.
- KLA Corp. (KLAC) - Earnings Jan. 25 - Options: Feb., strike at 560, and 4.2% cost.
- Remitly Global (RELY) - Earnings Feb. 22 - Options: March, strike at 20, and 7.1% cost.R
- Rollins Inc. (ROL) - Earnings: Feb. 15 - Options: Feb., strike at 45, and 1.5% cost.
- Clear Secure (YOU) - Earnings: Feb. 27 - Options: May, strike at 22.45, and 11.5% cost.
- Sempra (SRE) - Earnings: Feb. 28 - Options: April, strike at 77.50, and 3.3% cost.
- Buy puts on the stocks below at the month and strike price listed:
- Plains GP Holdings (PAGP) - Earnings date: Feb. 9 - Options: Feb., strike at 16, and 2.4% cost.
- BankUnited (BKU) - Earnings date: Jan. 26 - Options: Feb., strike at 30, and 4.4% cost.
- A.O. Smith (AOS) - Earnings date: Jan. 30 - Options: Feb., strike at 80, and 3.4% cost.
- Brown-Forman (BF.B) - Earnings date: March 8 - Options: March, strike at 55, and 10.3% cost.
- eBay Inc. (EBAY) - Earnings date: Feb. 22 - Options: March, strike at 42.50, and 4.6% cost.
- Roblox (RBLX) - Earnings date: Feb. 7 - Options: Feb., strike at 40, and 5.6% cost.
- Upstart Holdings (UPST) - Earnings date: Feb. 14 - Options: Feb., strike at 35, and 13.4% cost.