The trials are event driven. After a certain number of people get
Covid-19 the study will be unblinded and the number of infected
who received vaccines versus placebo will be counted. The
vaccines use technology used in other vaccines that work
and have been used for years so they are almost certainly
safe. For example the similar technology GSK Shringrix
Shingles vaccine has been given to 11 million people
since it was approved in 2017 with very few serious
problems.
The halted AZN/Oxford vaccine uses an Adeno virus
where similar side effects have been seen but at a much
lower rate (the vaccine is probably still good because the
vaccinated medical symptoms were just random). All the
vaccines worked on primates so they will probably work at
least to some extent in people.
I think the Warp speed bar for provisional approval
is 50%. The number number of events needed for
approval depends on the size of the trial. PFZ
first readout is 28 days (then next 56). MRNA
first readout is 42 days.
There is a good chance that even 50% effective
vaccines will eliminate Covid-19 once enough people
have been vaccinated because the virus needs humans
as its host.
Covid-19 the study will be unblinded and the number of infected
who received vaccines versus placebo will be counted. The
vaccines use technology used in other vaccines that work
and have been used for years so they are almost certainly
safe. For example the similar technology GSK Shringrix
Shingles vaccine has been given to 11 million people
since it was approved in 2017 with very few serious
problems.
The halted AZN/Oxford vaccine uses an Adeno virus
where similar side effects have been seen but at a much
lower rate (the vaccine is probably still good because the
vaccinated medical symptoms were just random). All the
vaccines worked on primates so they will probably work at
least to some extent in people.
I think the Warp speed bar for provisional approval
is 50%. The number number of events needed for
approval depends on the size of the trial. PFZ
first readout is 28 days (then next 56). MRNA
first readout is 42 days.
There is a good chance that even 50% effective
vaccines will eliminate Covid-19 once enough people
have been vaccinated because the virus needs humans
as its host.