FX intervention 30/09

Large gains by the US Dollar after 10am ET do smell of intervention, but I find that hard to believe given the current policy of "low rates for a considerable period".

Despite the gains by the US Dollar, bonds haven't sold off.

Anyone care to share their thoughts?
 
Quote from m22au:

Large gains by the US Dollar after 10am ET do smell of intervention, but I find that hard to believe given the current policy of "low rates for a considerable period".

Despite the gains by the US Dollar, bonds haven't sold off.

Anyone care to share their thoughts?

It seems more like a technical move triggered by a large order setting off a cascade of trailing stops and stop-loss orders in multiple markets simultaneously. A similar thing happened in early January.
 
msfe: large gains by the US Dollar since 10am ET ...

I ignored the obvious - that European central banks and/or the Fed would intervene on the BOJ's behalf. I find that strange - on one hand the Fed is looking to engineer a weak US Dollar yet on the other it helps out the BOJ by selling Yen.
 
Quote from msfe:

gains by the US Dollar ?

Euro and Swiss Francs are sharply up ...

Yes they are still sharply up, but also SHARLPY OFF their highs. Have you looked at an intra-day chart? While you are at it, look at a chart of the Yen
 
Quote from m22au:

msfe: large gains by the US Dollar since 10am ET ...

I ignored the obvious - that European central banks and/or the Fed would intervene on the BOJ's behalf. I find that strange - on one hand the Fed is looking to engineer a weak US Dollar yet on the other it helps out the BOJ by selling Yen.

"Lord, make me chaste, but not yet" --St. Augustine

The US may want a weaker dollar, but it's not in any sovereign's best interest for the dollar to fall off a cliff. It's been 'managed down' for a long time now.

Trying to stave off Soros' 'reflexivity' is funny, in an existential sense. Hard to get a weaker dollar without impeding foreign capital inflows-- that kind of thing can get out of hand quickly.

regards,
laz
 
Thanks for your ideas Laz, but I must admit that I didn't understand

"Trying to stave off Soros' 'reflexivity' is funny, in an existential sense. "


Quote from laziz314159:



"Lord, make me chaste, but not yet" --St. Augustine

The US may want a weaker dollar, but it's not in any sovereign's best interest for the dollar to fall off a cliff. It's been 'managed down' for a long time now.

Trying to stave off Soros' 'reflexivity' is funny, in an existential sense. Hard to get a weaker dollar without impeding foreign capital inflows-- that kind of thing can get out of hand quickly.

regards,
laz
 
I'm not sure if that was directed at me ..... but for the record I am a US Dollar bear


Quote from CPTrader:



If you are a dollar bull, this can't be positive, an intervention and yet not much.....
 
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