Fx futures Journal

I am a couple of days late here with this short. I haven't been paying attention recently because I have been focusing on daytrading. This is a problem with daytrading I think and I may just revert back totally to the swing and position trading with no charts less than 60 minute, so that I can keep focus on more markets and not miss signals. What it is, is being too active. Less is more in futures and I need to revisit that concept even with the experience that I have.
Attached is a chart of a classic triple bearish divergence on the Aussie that clearly shows that the market should have been shorted on the close Wed 01032007 at .7907. I am two days late here. I can't have that happen ever again. Feel free to comment on the chart.
 

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Quote from Buy1Sell2:

I don't see a clear direction on the Yen futures. I am on the sidelines.

Just wondering, you attempted to buy the yen a couple times last month if I recall correctly -- why not now when it's finally showing relative strength? Would also be a good complement ("hedge" is such a dirty word around here) for your other shorts.

ps- you don't need to thank me for the questions, makes you sound like big gay al from south park. :)
 
Quote from illiquid:

Just wondering, you attempted to buy the yen a couple times last month if I recall correctly -- why not now when it's finally showing relative strength?

It certainly showed strength on hourly charts Fri didn't it? I want to go long here, but I need to see a more clear picture in the chart. Attached is my daily chart where it's just not clear to me yet. I am just being cautious. I did manage to pick up 40 pips on the short side Wed using the hourly chart but did not trade the long side Fri.

I can see a double bottom with strengthening RSI, but I am not certain yet. I may take your suggestion with a stop below the potential double bottom, although I would rather buy on a stop above the reaction high on the chart. Let me give it some more thought.
 

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The Yen chart that I just posted was the continuous chart. Attached here is the March Contract which has quite a different look to it with failure swings included. I think that your suggestion has merit and I will most likely buy on Sunday night and keep a stop below the low on the daily. The only issue is the large size of the Histogram trough which generally portends more weakness. I will need to be very careful here. I will pay special attention to the hourly chart for entry and exit until the daily shapes up a bit. Comments welcome
 

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Quote from Jackjones:

I don't know why hedge is a dirty word in fx. I find you get the best positions out of them.

I just meant around these parts (mostly among those trading retail spot), where some believe being long EUR/USD in one account and short EUR/USD in another provides some kind of advantage . . .
 
Well don't get me wrong, I am neither long or short yen as well, and don't really pay attention to technicals as much. But betting on further yen strength would for me translate into a bet on further depreciation of the commodity bloc, among other things. It would fit well with your other long dollar plays though.
 
Quote from illiquid:

I just meant around these parts (mostly among those trading retail spot), where some believe being long EUR/USD in one account and short EUR/USD in another provides some kind of advantage . . .

What if you are bullish long term, but still want to trade short-term against your long-term position?
 
Quote from romik:

What if you are bullish long term, but still want to trade short-term against your long-term position?

Sure, then it's a separate trade. I would not, for example, be more willing to short something just because you're already long in a longer-term time frame, but just think of things completely independently aka nothing to do with a "hedge".
 
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