Fx futures Journal

Quote from Buy1Sell2:

I exited this trade at 1.27250 for a seven pip gain. It really was poorly timed as an intraday trade coming so late in the day. I was selling below a reaction low on the 5 minute chart and the 5 minute is not to be used unless it's during the peak times and maybe not even then. I consider this trade to have been reckless in nature and rookie at best. I have positional shorts on- I'm not missing anything here. In fact, I could have caused myself harm.

Good point about the 5 minute timeframe and shorter timeframes in general, particularly when paired with a strategy that stops into positions. Have to use it sparingly and at the right times. Intraday, forex seems to be ruled by the hourly charts and higher.
 
Quote from Buy1Sell2:

Short Canadian at .9038. Profit target .8988. 50 pips.

Exited this one just now at .9010 for 28 pip gain. No intraday trades currently open now. Only the short positionals.
 
how do you determine if you're in a rangy or trending market?

Quote from Buy1Sell2:

I place my trades generally off of the hourly chart or the 240 and then walk away. I don't watch the screen 23/7 but will check in every 2 or 3 hours and I also sleep. There are many times when I just have positionals on and don't look at it except once or twice a day. Right now while it's been ranging a lot of money can be made by paying a little closer attention to the oscillations. During trendy times, sometimes it pays to just ride it. I have been printing money the last little bit with the range so it keep interesting.
 
Quote from m4a1:

how do you determine if you're in a rangy or trending market?

Typically the daily 20 MA is fairly flat in a ranging market and on a steady slope in a trending market. I know it sounds simple, but that's it. :)
 
but say you see that the 20 ma is fairly flat. why do you think that it will continue to stay flat when you put on a rangy market type trade.

also, does it bother you that 20 is an arbitrary number? or is it not an arbitrary number to you?

Quote from Buy1Sell2:

Typically the daily 20 MA is fairly flat in a ranging market and on a steady slope in a trending market. I know it sounds simple, but that's it. :)
 
Pound at 8717..

Lowering stop to 8775 from 8825

Quote from optioncoach:

Taking a gamble risk here.

Short Pound at 1.8743 at 8:30 PM.

The Pound has not necessarily crashed but it has made a strong move lower off of recent highs and below the swing low established in mid Aug. The next area of support is the summer lows near 8200.

Therefore, I wll put a stop somewhere over 8800 and see if I can ride the Pound down towards 8200. Of course if the pound has another 100 down day I may get out early lol as usual ;).

Since I will most likely want to keep trading the Pound I may replace the futures with some deep OTM Puts a few months out.
 
Quote from m4a1:

but say you see that the 20 ma is fairly flat. why do you think that it will continue to stay flat when you put on a rangy market type trade.

also, does it bother you that 20 is an arbitrary number? or is it not an arbitrary number to you?

The 20 is the middle line of the Bollinger Bands. The 20 is most widely used due to that fact. There is no way to know whether or not it will continue flat or not. Your best way of trading is using my RSI grail coupled with the MACD, Histogram, and Bollinger Bands aaand just be patient. The Fx Futures offer a tremendous oppportunity for relatively easy money. The Cash/Spot Forex does not.
 
Quote from optioncoach:

Pound at 8717..

Lowering stop to 8775 from 8825

Looking good coach. I suggest a trailing stop here of 1.8771, so your stop is right there!--that is if you are using hourly charts. On the daily chart, my stop recommendation is 1.9028. I think this latter stop would be the one to employ to get the Pound down to 1.8200 as you want it to. (and I as well).
 
Quote from m4a1:

but say you see that the 20 ma is fairly flat. why do you think that it will continue to stay flat when you put on a rangy market type trade.

also, does it bother you that 20 is an arbitrary number? or is it not an arbitrary number to you?

Please see attached chart for further guidance. :)

Always keep it very simple--
 

Attachments

Yeah, if we keep falling then I will move the stop to breakeven.

What I really want to do is take profit at 100 pips and replce the futures position with an OTM put with NOV or DEC expiration. Perhaps an 8500 strike...

Quote from Buy1Sell2:

Looking good coach. I suggest a trailing stop here of 1.8771, so your stop is right there!--that is if you are using hourly charts. On the daily chart, my stop recommendation is 1.9028. I think this latter stop would be the one to employ to get the Pound down to 1.8200 as you want it to. (and I as well).
 
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