Quote from Swan Noir:
At MF Global customer losses appear to not be a factor in the depletion of the Segregation Account. Remember Segregation is the left pocket of the firms trousers and their capital account is the right pocket. The $$ are in their hands every day and you count on them to put your money -- and keep your money -- in the safe pocket.
Of course their balance sheet is very important but the sheer number of ways that money -- your money -- can disappear is truly astonishing. Very few, if any, MF customers knew during October that when they went to bed at night their $$ had been "borrowed" and replaced with Irish & Spanish bonds.
BTW, and I know this will sound foolish, but depending on the maturities of those bonds it is possible that the funds are relatively secure. The EFSF has guaranteed a bunch of the shorter maturities -- I think into 2013 -- for these troubled credits. While the EFSF is likely to blow up someday, along with the ECB, it probably will not be before those bonds are paid.
Since Corzine reportedly financed those positions with a repo-to-maturity strategy and used EFSF guaranteed paper there may still be upside surprises here if the Trustee decides to and can finance margin calls ... assuming those positions are still in place.