Quote from emg:
its the leverage. measure the leverage and volatility before the delivering date. there is no such thing u can trade any commodity/futures instruments with as little as $5000.
Something small traders will never understand because they are poor and do things the ghetto way.
the success begins working in the house and not from home. the house will provide $$$ to trade high leverage and volatility.
Trading from home in the beginning level is for schmuck. trading in the house is for heros. that requires higher education!
Quote from murrica:
It is far to difficult IMO to trade illiquid micro futures on a short term basis. Maybe in a few years they will be better, if the volumes grow.
Here's my free advice.
Save more cash and allocate $20k per contract, as an ideal *minimum*. Don't trade for income, have another source of income. This is why people like emg keep repeating the same stuff.. which sadly has a lot of validity. He is ostensibly trying to help the small guys from hanging themselves over and over..or just making fun of them.
As someone who actually studied EE at one of the universities emg mentions in that incessant image repost, and as someone who has definitely tried trading with a peanut piker account in the past (putting me near both ends of the trading universe spectrum that he mentions), I can assure you that you are better off saving your money, refining your method, and keeping your risk per trade low.. the retail futures brokers might advise you on this, but ultimately they will likely push you into trading anyway which is not to your benefit, but theirs. I am much more comfortable now trading with a much larger account, risking a small amount per trade. This helps me sleep at night.
Good luck. (Although, I do not think luck has anything to do with it, more so the planning/preparation with regard to capitalization and protecting your capital -- rules #1 and #2). Luck is relevant to a single coin flip, or to the occurrence of a string of winners or losers...
I do not think you need $500k as emg states, but it sure wouldn't hurt. There's a reason that daytrading stocks requires $25k minimum capital per regulation. Don't be fooled into thinking you can have great odds of success with a tiny grubstake. The odds are stacked against you. I'd recommend planning a trip to Vegas with your loved ones for much better entertainment and far less stress.
I mention the above because I can see clearly why emg responded to you. You're asking the wrong questions, but you did at least mention the capitalization part. Trust me, focus on capitalizing first.. learn to trade first.. save your money.. start slowly. Test the waters. Them waters be full of sharks, and they are hungry for bottom feeders like us retail traders.
Look up risk of ruin. Someone mentioned that their blackjack buddy had 30 losing hands in a row, which could happen even with a good trading system. Now, how much capital can you risk per trade if that statistically unlikely in the short term, but mostly guaranteed in the long run string of losers, does come up during your trading career? This is a function of performance bond, position size, and stop loss size.. and of course, expectancy. $20k on a contract with a $4k margin requirement leaves $16k of 'draw down' (which you should never approach).. 2% risk per trade is 60% draw down in that 'black swan' run of 30 losers, or $12k... you'd be down to $8k and could recover... hopefully. Emotions, slippage, poor execution, etc, etc, all guarantee things will work against you even more than the 2% per trade.. so even $20k per contract presents a bit of systemic risk if you hit an unlucky streak of losers. Now, as a thought experiment, what are the odds of success if you allocate far less than this per contract?
In practice, yes, you can trade with less and be very selective. But, I hate to mention this, because, in practice, emotions, slippage/commish, etc all make this impractical. The above is what works for my risk tolerance.
If and when I have $500k risk capital, I will be looking to allocate minimum $25k - $30k per mini (or more), so I'd never have more than 20 mini contracts at a time with that amount. That's why emg says what he does; you need size to make money, and you need money to stay safe with size.
This goes out to all you undercapitalized traders. emg keeps repeating the same stuff for a good frelling reason. Save your money and learn some basics on the probabilities of professional gambling.
Good trading to all.
Quote from Azharr:
thank you for your kind advice
what if
ES - $12.5 / tick = $20k
Micro - $1.25 / tick = $2k ?
are you referring to ES per contract or NQ/YM ?
if
YM $5 = $20k
Micro GBPUSD $0.625 = $2.5k ?
Quote from Azharr:
thank you for your kind advice
what if
ES - $12.5 / tick = $20k
Micro - $1.25 / tick = $2k ?
are you referring to ES per contract or NQ/YM ?
if
YM $5 = $20k
Micro GBPUSD $0.625 = $2.5k ?
Quote from oraclewizard77:
You need around $ 1,500 to trade a single contract in futures. I will assume for sake of argument that you have been able to make profitable trade on a SIM account. If not, stop, and trade sim for awhile.
By trading 1 contract, you should be able to make $ 250,000 per year. This assumes you have an edge and proper money management, plus that you can control your emotions.
The benefit of trading futures or forex is that you get leverage. Having more capital is meaningless. If someone has a large account, he or she is going to max out on 10 contracts with no stop and lose a ton of money. So trading 1 contract with a large or small account is exactly the same in how much money you make or lose.
When testing out a new system keep the contract size small until you have proven with real money that you are profitable then can slowly increase the number of contracts that you trade.
If you trade during the day, you have to use a smaller time frame in order to catch the swings.
Now its very possible, when you switch from sim to real money, you will blow out your small account or big account if you have a big account. By using a small account, you will only lose a little money while learning to trade. Once you blow out your account, go back to sim, determine what you did wrong, then open another small account. If you are doing well, you can always add more money to your small account to make it a medium sized account. The benefit of trading with a small account is you get to feel the reality of emotions when trading with real money.
Quote from oraclewizard77:
Let's say for sake of argument that you trade ES. Let's say for sake of argument you went long market with a 4 tick profit target and a 4 tick stop loss. If ES moves 4 ticks in your favor you would make $ 50, if it moves 4 ticks to your stop loss, you would lose $ 50.00
During the day a good broker will allow you to trade with real margin of $ 500 per contract.
So once you determine how much you are going to risk, you are then able to calculate how much you need to have in your account. So do you really need $ 20,000 if you are risking just $ 50.00 or will you be able to maintain a smaller account say $ 10,000 or $ 5,000.
Quote from murrica:
$50 stop will not work because of spread/commish/slippage/execution issues.
The smaller the time frame, the more unpredictable things become, so it's more likely you will have a ton of stop losses, esp if using something ridiculous like a "$50 per contract stop".
$500 margin lets you save maybe $2k on your cap. allocation. So, instead of $20,000, maybe you're allocating $18,000. It also conveniently offers the typical retail trader enough rope to hang them self over and over. Reload!
As for keeping less than the recommended $20k / contract in the account, sure, if you have the maturity to actually keep your cash reserves handy and not re-allocate them to another 'investment', then maybe this works. If you do not mind 'depositing' more funds on draw down or answering margin calls, it might work. Psychology is a big part of the game, and what works for you might not work for me.