Mike, what I am trying to say is that these 2 positions should not be calculated for my p/l. They are actually in a seperate third account so that the IRS knows that as well, and doesn't mark them to market. I'll be holding these 2 stocks for well over a year or three. I do include open losses on open positions in my p/l when I mark those positions to market. I am using my gains and continually plowing them into these 2 positions and you are correct that I am averaging down on both of them. I have no problem with averaging down though as long as the fundamentals of the companies do not change but instead the stock prices are dogged by sloppy sellers. Lower prices = better values.
I agree that if I suffer a drawdown, people will pull out, possibly very fast. I intend to set it up in such a way that there are only 2 or so times a year that someone could pull money out unless the fund is down a certain % for the year. I dont' think that to achieve these larger gains I'll take on more risk. Most likely, I'll be taking on less risk than now because my the fund will be more spread out over multiple positions and it will not be using leverage. I have never had a drawdown of over 15% from peak to trough since I started trading in the manner that I do (I'm not including my very early years). Of the five or so drawdowns of over 10%, I'd say that all but one were the results of gap downs or stock halts. By spreading the capital to many more positions, I think that the odds of a drawdown of that magnitude occurring are rather slim. Once people get accostomed to the volatility that I often experience in my funds, I think that they'll get used to drawdowns of 5-12% or so possibly in a single day as long as they are also used to the 10-20% up days that I experience. As I have said before, I've not had a down period from peak to trough of more than 15%.
AAA- What use would there be for an army of analysts and traders. If they were so good, I'm sure they'd be trading on their own. I have never listened to an analyst in my life, and I dont intend to start now. I admit that in the future if my account gets considerably larger, I might need a second trader, but I know people who can fill that gap who I trust very much. As for now, if I am running just 10-20m, I think I can take care of all the transactions necessary. I may need a secretary at some point to answer phones, but I think that at the startup stage I am at now, I will just need myself and maybe one additional person (at most). A 1% fee on 10m is 100k. That should definately cover any CTA or legal expense plus give me enough money for my dsl and utilities. I don't think people want to see mahogany walls. They just want to see their capital earnings extreme returns.