Fully automated futures trading

Well, I think you guys jinxed it! I'm being killed by energy markets today.

Down a little over 2%. Less than half of "that" November day. Not just energy, but all commodities in my limited instrument universe.

KH
 
Obviously a mistake to bring this up, but I made 2.5% yesterday and a few bps this morning.

Always feels weird when the portfolio is positioned pro-bad news, and you find yourself thinking you'd wish there would be a war or something...

GAT
 
I am developing a risk overlay which closes my positions when someone on this thread relays joy on their account curve uptick. Obviously scaled to reflect the level of joy expressed (20 = flat portfolio).

Manual, or do you scrape the web page every few seconds?

Rob
 
Obviously a mistake to bring this up, but I made 2.5% yesterday and a few bps this morning.

Always feels weird when the portfolio is positioned pro-bad news, and you find yourself thinking you'd wish there would be a war or something...

GAT
I wonder if Alexander Hamilton had his trend-following portfolio in mind when as a kid in 1769 he wrote "I wish there was a War." https://founders.archives.gov/documents/Hamilton/01-01-02-0002
 
Obviously a mistake to bring this up, but I made 2.5% yesterday and a few bps this morning.

Always feels weird when the portfolio is positioned pro-bad news, and you find yourself thinking you'd wish there would be a war or something...

GAT
I imagine that it has been a couple of good days for pure trend following systems, they have been very good for me. I'm too fully aware, though, that with just one political decision, the good days could have been reversed, and we'd all be crying into our pretzels.
KH
 
Another 2.5% at pixel time. Drawdown less than 1% now. I can taste the HWM, it's so close.

Global equities down 2.5% so if my mix was 50:50 I'd be perfectly hedged. It's not :-(

Rob
 
Expected risk is below target, so these are big moves

Code:
********************************************************************************
           Risk report report produced on 2022-02-23 21:01:01.993912           
********************************************************************************


Total risk across all strategies, annualised percentage 15.6

========================================
Risk per strategy, annualised percentage
========================================

                  risk
dynamic_TF_carry  15.7


====================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================
                                                                                                                          Instrument risk                                                                                                                           
====================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================================

              daily_price_stdev  annual_price_stdev     price  daily_perc_stdev  annual_perc_stdev  point_size_base  contract_exposure  daily_risk_per_contract  annual_risk_per_contract  position    capital  exposure_held_perc_capital  annual_risk_perc_capital
BUND                       0.67               10.74    165.94              0.40               6.47           835.07          138571.63                   560.42                   8966.69      -1.0  386653.72                      -35.84                     -2.32
V2X                        1.17               18.72     26.75              4.37              69.98            83.51            2233.81                    97.70                   1563.15      -4.0  386653.72                       -2.31                     -1.62
JPY                        0.00                0.00      0.01              0.33               5.36       9218255.09           80198.82                   268.43                   4294.95      -1.0  386653.72                      -20.74                     -1.11
BITCOIN                 1706.90            27310.47  38415.00              4.44              71.09             0.07            2832.95                   125.88                   2014.04      -2.0  386653.72                       -1.47                     -1.04
KR10                       0.35                5.55    119.63              0.29               4.64           618.63           74007.12                   214.48                   3431.67      -1.0  386653.72                      -19.14                     -0.89
MXP                        0.00                0.00      0.05              0.52               8.39        368730.20           18145.21                    95.16                   1522.63       1.0  386653.72                        4.69                      0.39
INR                        0.43                6.84    133.41              0.32               5.13           368.73           49192.30                   157.63                   2522.04       1.0  386653.72                       12.72                      0.65
EU-DIV30                  21.81              349.00   1878.00              1.16              18.58             8.35           15682.63                   182.15                   2914.38       1.0  386653.72                        4.06                      0.75
GOLD_micro                15.98              255.74   1908.90              0.84              13.40             7.37           14077.38                   117.87                   1885.97       3.0  386653.72                       10.92                      1.46
IRON                       4.89               78.30    138.85              3.52              56.39            73.75           10239.64                   360.89                   5774.23       1.0  386653.72                        2.65                      1.49
CORN                       5.23               83.74    609.75              0.86              13.73            36.87           22483.32                   192.98                   3087.68       2.0  386653.72                       11.63                      1.60
SOYBEAN                   11.22              179.54   1485.00              0.76              12.09            36.87           54756.44                   413.77                   6620.33       1.0  386653.72                       14.16                      1.71
LEANHOG                    1.50               24.03    118.98              1.26              20.19           294.98           35095.74                   442.94                   7087.05       1.0  386653.72                        9.08                      1.83
CRUDE_W_mini               1.31               20.91     91.80              1.42              22.77           368.73           33849.43                   481.81                   7709.03       1.0  386653.72                        8.75                      1.99
EU-BASIC                  11.74              187.77    641.80              1.83              29.26            41.75           26797.42                   490.01                   7840.19       1.0  386653.72                        6.93                      2.03
BRENT-LAST                 1.27               20.26     92.06              1.38              22.00           737.46           67890.61                   933.68                  14938.92       1.0  386653.72                       17.56                      3.86
HEATOIL                    0.03                0.53      2.74              1.21              19.44         30973.34           84984.64                  1032.34                  16517.44       1.0  386653.72                       21.98                      4.27
GASOILINE                  0.04                0.58      2.84              1.28              20.43         30973.34           88075.78                  1124.88                  17998.06       1.0  386653.72                       22.78                      4.65

Sum of abs(notional exposure % capital) 227.4
Sum of abs(annualised risk % capital) 33.7
Net sum of annualised risk % capital 19.7
 
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