Fully automated futures trading

Does anybody else still have forecast for MXP to be long or am I doing something wrong? The trend has clearly ended but my overall forecast is still 8.5 (I use same numbers as Rob, average +10/-10, cap at +20/-20). Most of it is from carry, which is 22 uncapped.
Yes, I'm still long MXP, albeit with only 1 contract. The maximum position size in my portfolio is 3 contracts if the forecast were at its maximum value.
 
Yes, I'm still long MXP, albeit with only 1 contract. The maximum position size in my portfolio is 3 contracts if the forecast were at its maximum value.

Thanks! That sounds about what I have as well, my max position is 5 though. I guess we just hang in there. :)
 
Thanks! That sounds about what I have as well, my max position is 5 though. I guess we just hang in there. :)

I'm long 7 lots, so you lot are pussies :-)

Not sure what my max is since that piece of legacy code has broken (nice way of encouraging me to work on pysystemtrade more quickly), but I was long 12 and I sold 5 contracts on Monday.

GAT
 
Is there any way to improve the quality of a momentum signal for an instrument by using more variables? For example gold and equities combined signal.
 
What do you mean by "quality", in this context?

Well right now the sharpe ratio is sort of the prediction quality. There are other ways to measure, ie you can set it up as a linear regression problem and come up with a measure of the return x days for each signal you have generated. X days will depend on your trading speed. Then you can look at Rsquare
 
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Well right now the sharpe ratio is sort of the prediction quality. There are other ways to measure, ie you can set it up as a linear regression problem and come up with a measure of the return x days for each signal you have generated. X days will depend on your trading speed.
The current way how @globalarbtrader and others on this thread implement momentum is by looking at the Donchian channel and calculating the position of the current price within this channel. That is used as momentum signal. This is repeated for various lookback periods and a weighted average is calculated.
I'm not sure how Sharpe ratio could be added to this calculation.
 
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