Full documentation of my streak of 44 consecutive profitable trades of 15% or better

M

mrmarket

There have been several requests from traders on this forum to see documentation of the trades in my streak. I have decided to formally document my incredible streak of 44 consecutive profitable trades of 15% or better. You know when ESPN did that graphic to show all of Barry Bonds’ 73 home run swings? Pretty cool, right?

For historical purposes, I felt it important that I show the documentation for all of my trades as they were posted on the internet (most of them on Yahoo message boards). These posts validate the time stamps when I entered the positions in real time. So here they are:


# STOCK DATE IN DATE OUT PAID SOLD GAIN
1 DHOM 1/8/2002 1/30/2002 15.30 17.75 16%
2 GNWR 1/3/2002 4/9/2002 21.38 24.80 16%
3 SAH 1/31/2002 4/9/2002 28.05 32.49 16%
4 ANH 1/10/2002 4/22/2002 9.73 11.30 16%
5 GAN 4/9/2002 5/1/2002 56.20 65.09 16%
6 RYL 4/10/2002 5/3/2002 100.35 116.17 16%
7 JOSB 5/8/2002 5/17/2002 20.58 24.11 17%
8 MHK 2/20/2002 5/20/2002 60.00 69.66 16%
9 TENT 5/14/2002 5/21/2002 13.67 15.88 16%
10 HAMP 6/18/2002 7/9/2002 21.89 25.35 16%
11 RATE 1/9/2003 1/13/2003 4.30 5.14 20%
12 LCI 1/24/2003 2/6/2003 20.00 23.40 17%
13 ODFL 1/3/2003 4/3/2003 29.05 33.77 16%
14 AVD 8/19/2002 4/14/2003 15.07 17.58 17%
15 QSII 2/25/2003 5/6/2003 26.14 32.10 23%
16 JFBC 1/2/2003 5/21/2003 50.90 59.46 17%
17 LEND 5/19/2003 5/27/2003 13.75 16.47 20%
18 PORT 2/7/2003 6/2/2003 46.85 53.67 15%
19 NFI 5/27/2003 6/5/2003 51.45 59.45 16%
20 DRL 4/7/2003 6/6/2003 37.70 44.02 17%
21 HITK 5/7/2003 6/16/2003 37.16 45.60 23%
22 OHB 5/21/2002 6/17/2003 9.92 12.01 21%
23 FBC 6/6/2003 6/26/2003 20.85 24.24 16%
24 MBT 5/2/2003 6/26/2003 48.50 57.04 18%
25 VNBC 4/12/2003 6/30/2003 18.89 21.96 16%
26 SSYS 6/19/2003 7/7/2003 33.35 38.90 17%
27 ACMR 4/22/2002 7/14/2003 22.01 25.46 16%
28 UTSI 7/3/2003 7/16/2003 36.28 41.95 16%
29 FCFS 7/8/2003 7/21/2003 16.30 18.84 16%
30 FRED 5/2/2002 8/1/2003 26.23 30.29 15%
31 SFCC 7/30/2003 9/2/2003 26.01 31.00 19%
32 ESI 8/7/2003 9/12/2003 39.59 46.38 17%
33 MDC 7/10/2002 10/1/2003 46.59 54.25 16%
34 COH 6/9/2003 10/14/2003 25.75 30.21 17%
35 ARO 10/3/2003 10/14/2003 28.90 33.62 16%
36 NARA 7/25/2003 10/16/2003 18.91 21.94 16%
37 DKS 7/29/2003 10/29/2003 39.99 47.21 18%
38 WRLD 6/3/2003 10/29/2003 14.43 18.63 29%
39 WLS 10/16/2003 10/29/2003 54.10 62.76 16%
40 GRMN 5/23/2003 10/29/2003 45.91 53.00 15%
41 JBSS 10/24/2003 10/30/2003 28.37 34.13 20%
42 FINL 9/29/2003 11/3/2003 27.13 31.39 16%
43 CLSR 10/31/2003 11/24/2003 30.47 35.14 15%
44 AMHC 7/14/2003 11/28/2003 41.00 47.96 17%


1. DHOM

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7079832&tid=dhom&sid=7079832&mid=192

2. GNWR (message board deleted)

3. SAH

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=8729459&tid=sah&sid=8729459&mid=721

4. ANH

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...ard=1600408672&tid=anh&sid=1600408672&mid=252

5. GAN (Message board deleted)

6. RYL

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7080119&tid=ryl&sid=7080119&mid=1483

7. JOSB

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7082672&tid=josb&sid=7082672&mid=2193

8. MHK
http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=8729273&tid=mhk&sid=8729273&mid=848

9. TENT

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=11545228&tid=tent&sid=11545228&mid=398



10. HAMP

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7077685&tid=hamp&sid=7077685&mid=85

11. RATE

Board did not exist prior to purchase but some commentary post-sale:

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=15529269&tid=rate&sid=15529269&mid=19

12. LCI

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...ard=1601298180&tid=lci&sid=1601298180&mid=594

13. ODFL

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7083322&tid=odfl&sid=7083322&mid=101

14. AVD

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7083322&tid=odfl&sid=7083322&mid=101

15. QSII

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=4687052&tid=qsii&sid=4687052&mid=1571

16. JFBC

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=9133403&tid=jfbc&sid=9133403&mid=23

17. LEND

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...rd=1605307757&tid=lend&sid=1605307757&mid=263


18. PORT

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...ard=1600811417&tid=port&sid=1600811417&mid=71

19. NFI

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=8729314&tid=nfi&sid=8729314&mid=20355

20. DRL

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7081669&tid=dorl&sid=7081669&mid=1261

21. HITK

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7076901&tid=hitk&sid=7076901&mid=3780

22. OHB

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7079885&tid=ohb&sid=7079885&mid=369

23. FBC

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...ard=1600424466&tid=fbc&sid=1600424466&mid=474

24. MBT

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...ard=1601028357&tid=mbt&sid=1601028357&mid=176

25. VNBC

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=1605578725&tid=vnbc&sid=1605578725&mid=2


26. SSYS

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=4687191&tid=ssys&sid=4687191&mid=5342

27. ACMR

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7080470&tid=acmr&sid=7080470&mid=2304

28. UTSI

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...=1600640741&tid=utsi&sid=1600640741&mid=26581

29. FCFS

Deleted by Yahoo

30. FRED

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7082098&tid=fred&sid=7082098&mid=863

31. SFCC

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...rd=1601151258&tid=sfc&sid=1601151258&mid=4564

32. ESI

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7082624&tid=esi&sid=7082624&mid=511

33. MDC

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7079999&tid=mdc&sid=7079999&mid=679

34. COH

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...rd=1601151168&tid=coh&sid=1601151168&mid=1786



35. ARO

(post deleted from Yahoo…copy saved here)

http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/forum...ight=aro&sid=77d61242c6f07b89ade7eefad8c27398

36. NARA

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...rd=1600905304&tid=nara&sid=1600905304&mid=286

37. DKS

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...rd=1601719120&tid=dks&sid=1601719120&mid=1264

38. WRLD

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7084716&tid=wrld&sid=7084716&mid=478

39. WLS

(post deleted from Yahoo…copy saved here)

http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/forum...ight=wls&sid=98bb5eb5e68300979f6df832d0cb4c7d

40. GRMN

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/b...d=1602585190&tid=grmn&sid=1602585190&mid=2183

41. JBSS

(post deleted from Yahoo…copy saved here)

http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=148&highlight=jbss





42. FINL

(post deleted from Yahoo…copy saved here)

http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/forum...ght=finl&sid=4c7c669281570a65ea7a95d07ca50321

43. CLSR

(post never entered on Yahoo but listed on Elite Trader)

http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=362233&highlight=clsr#post362233

44. AMHC

http://finance.messages.yahoo.com/bbs?.mm=FN&action=m&board=7076543&tid=amhc&sid=7076543&mid=1517

The good news is that the streak is still alive and growing. I’d be happy to answer any questions you have if you email me:

ebarsamian2003@yahoo.com


Average returns are for average investors. Superior returns are for superior investors. I am HUGE!! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.
 
Mr. Market. This must have taken a lot of energy for you to track all this down. I have one question......

What does I am huge mean? Could you elaborate?

Michael B.

 
Quote from ElectricSavant:

Mr. Market. This must have taken a lot of energy for you to track all this down. I have one question......

What does I am huge mean? Could you elaborate?

Michael B.
More...


When you are HUGE, the rest of the world is smaller, relatively speaking.
 
speaking literarally rather than figuratively, i saw the picture of you flexing. you've got some work to do. on your results, congrats on your success. i wonder how you would've done had we not been in a bull market, with the NASDAQ up what, 40% so.
 
Quote from dafugginman:

speaking literarally rather than figuratively, i saw the picture of you flexing. you've got some work to do. on your results, congrats on your success. i wonder how you would've done had we not been in a bull market, with the NASDAQ up what, 40% so.
More...

Actually, one of the criteria of my screens is that I buy a stock at or near its high. So even if we are in a bear market, I'm still buying a stock that has been performing well and has good quantitative momentum. I don't do as many trades in a bear market as in a bull market.

The streak I referenced started in 2002 and you can see, not many of my positions were taken early in that year.
 
Nice bit of work, mrmuscle. So - Did you actually make any money, too?
Since it's almost a year of trading, I hope you got at least a few hundred K out of those deals...
Otherwise - wouldn't exactly be huge, would it? :)

Best,
Scientist.
 
One boring day recently, much like today, I created a chronological documentation of mr.m's 53 trades over the past two years (wins and losses) to get a better likely idea of the performance (see http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=370421#post370421 ).

I think we all saw that, at best, it averaged a 12.6% return per trade over an average trade duration of 4 months. The trades lasted anywhere up to almost two years' hold. We also noted that there were, at best, 14 times mr.m had to bring in new capital for the opportunities as they arose (because his capital was tied up in holding losses in every case save one). We could tell nothing of his position sizing except to deduce that it appeared to be either papertrading or very small positions, due to this consistent capital infusion need.

mr.m was asked to clarify a few points that came up in that analysis, among them, the exact sequence of trades, in order to form a more accurate picture, but as of this writing there has been no such trade sequence forthcoming. Just a rehash of the same old, same old.

When shown an example of how a technical method (not technical analysis) could be applied to his trades to eliminate the capital infusion need, to reap profits without the long holding times, in effect, to better its performance, mr.m seems unwilling to explore those options.

His many and constant ploys and manuevers in answering questions notwithstanding, one has to then begin to ascertain why he continues to be steadfastly proud about his mediocre performance, why he is reluctant to answer specific questions, and why he answers some of the questions in the manner he does. Some of you are way ahead of me on this, but I think, and forgive me if I'm wrong but this is the opinion I've formed after reviewing his material and considering his answers and non-answers, that there's something either very wrong with this gentleman or that he's a kid pretending to be someone else by posting on this site, and/or that he was one of the worst students in his class.
 
I checked the details and the chart of your last trade on the list (44 AMHC 7/14/2003 11/28/2003 41.00 47.96 17%) and I have a question.
You bought AMHC right at the top, after a 5-week runup ($41.00). Only 5 days later the price dropped to $29.35 and it stayed below your purchase price for the next 10 weeks or so (the first time you broke even was 09/23/2003). Then it got hammered two more times and you just stayed long. Finally after waiting for 15 weeks or so you sold it today into today's runup.
Question: it never bothered you that just one week after your purchase, you were down 30%? And that you were under the water for the next 10 weeks? What kind of money management do you apply in your trading?
Thank you!
 
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