Frost,
I just caught up with your thread and find it interesting in that I too have been trading a counter-trend ER2 system that makes no trades before 9:00am Central time. However my system (which is not automated) only places 1 trade per day but only trades about 85% of days. Your system kicks my system's ass regarding total P/L. My P/L curve is attached for 1 contract traded at a time (represents about 3 years). X-axis is days traded and I began trading system around day 530 which was 9 months ago. (before that is backtested curve).
How many trades/day does your system average?
I am just now pulling out of my biggest drawdown over the 3 year period, around $3k. Before that I expected the max. to be around $2.5k. For that reason, it is important to have enough capital in your account to keep on truckin'. I use $10k capital for each ER2 contract traded as my guideline. I am experiencing many of the "feelings" you are regarding the system. I am confident my system should continue to be profitable but in this business nothing is for sure. Good luck with yours going forward!
And I like the curve for your system #2 better but only because the profit per trade is a little better. Tough call...