Quote from black diamond:
So here is my challenge to you: lay out a scenario step by step where flash orders could get you ripped off
I am also curious how you would make a ton of money if you could see flash orders.
Here's a question i sent to a great trader, which he sent me back really nice response:
Let's say I'm short 2000 shares of a stock that has fairly decent daily volume (4-5 million) and a bid/ask spread of 3-5 cents. GENZ is a good example (even though i rarely trade GENZ). I'm short the 2000 and it's bidding $48.35 by 48.38, There is several ECN's offering random offers at different sizes. NSDQ, BATS, ARCA, ISE- they are all there on the offer with anywhere from 200 shares to 2000 within a few cent range (48.38, 48.29, 40.40, etc..). I send out a market order to sell my whole position through NSDQ. Now, if NSDQ does not have 2000 available at 48.38, it's supposed to give me what it has and route out the rest at the best prices on the other available ECN's best prices. 6 months ago, before NSDQ and BATS started offering flash order info to others, i would have gotten filled fairly. I would have gotten all the best prices available on all the ECN's to complete my order and would have gotten an average price of maybe around 48.39-48.40. Today, however, with the same scenario about 25% of my trades gets filled way out of whack. I don't even get 100 shares at 48.38. I get filled anywhere from 3-10 cents out of the money, depending on the stock. I have tried everything i know of to get around it, but nothing works.
Very Important Note:
I can also send out a limit order a few cents above the offer to cover a short, or a few scent below the bid to cover a long and still get the same nasty fill. My agrument is that the flash order information gives the specialist, market maker (automated or otherwise), bigger trader the opportunity to react to their benefit. Or worse, these algo's, programs, or automated market makers are designed to spot someone that's wants out, and instantly drop it's fake level II and fill us in a vicsoius spread for it's own profit.
Also, have you tried to put out a limt order way out in advance to take some profits. I've placed them out anywhere from 5-10 minutes to a quarter of a second and some damn program or algo will step in front of me instananeouly, even if it's for a fraction of a cent. Most of the time, maybe because they way some of these algo's are designed, they can run the stock against me because it now knows i need out. All because it spotted my limit order that was NOT SENT, but sitting on my server waiting to trigger once the price hit. Once the limit price hits, boom it's flashed, and it sets off the algo or program. Some of these algo's are ECN rebate whores, so maybe that's why the step in front of me. Whatever the case, it's making things difficult and i would love to see the flash's just banned.
As far as how i could profit, that's easy. If i can see mutiple flash orders coming in for a particular stock, i could join them in that direction. I know it sounds simple or even silly, but thinks about it. That's just how simple they have made it for the market makers. We don't see it that way, because we don't think in milliseconds. The guy that set up the algo can't either, but his sophisticated computer can.
Hey, i want to thank you for joining in to this Black Diamond. I'm a pretty new trader (1 1/2 yrs full time). I originally sent out this post to get help. I'm all open ears, i know there are alot of much more experienced traders than myself onElite, just looking for answers and how i can improve.