I agree with futures shark, basically "free marketers" in south america historically have been a bunch of crooks trying to get a license to financially rape the population, and then using their political clout to get bailouts from the government when the market punishes them for their ineptitude as businessmen.
Imagine a country with lots of Ken Lays and Bernie Ebbers's, that's the typical South American country. The difference is, businessmen NEVER get punished for scamming customers or investors.
Add to that HUGE artificial barriers to entry and it's easy to understand why business in South America is anything but competitive.
Not all businessmen are crooks, but, South American taxes and regulations are so stupid, few businessmen can survive without playing along with the system, in other words, bribing, lobbying, bullying and screwing others if they can get away with it.
So the average Joe, or should I say the "average Juan", thinks free markets means crooks running the show, so he perceives left leaning politicians as morally superior, "nationalistic and without hidden interests". Socialists market themselves that way with success, which is kind of funny, since more than often they have their own dirt, and very rarely have any real world knowledge or experience, since they are either professional politicians or academics. In other words "professional parasites".
So voters naturally fluctuate from one side to the other. Get sick of one side, go to the other side. Repeat forever.
So in my opinion, to establish truly "free competitive markets" in 3rd world countries is not just privatize and deregulate as many naive gurus and academics think. Going there from the current situation leads only to Kleptocracies.
What to do, then? I don't know that's not my job. All I know, south american bonds and equities have been going up, but nothing has really changed, so I'm looking to short the hell out of those POS.
Imagine a country with lots of Ken Lays and Bernie Ebbers's, that's the typical South American country. The difference is, businessmen NEVER get punished for scamming customers or investors.
Add to that HUGE artificial barriers to entry and it's easy to understand why business in South America is anything but competitive.
Not all businessmen are crooks, but, South American taxes and regulations are so stupid, few businessmen can survive without playing along with the system, in other words, bribing, lobbying, bullying and screwing others if they can get away with it.
So the average Joe, or should I say the "average Juan", thinks free markets means crooks running the show, so he perceives left leaning politicians as morally superior, "nationalistic and without hidden interests". Socialists market themselves that way with success, which is kind of funny, since more than often they have their own dirt, and very rarely have any real world knowledge or experience, since they are either professional politicians or academics. In other words "professional parasites".
So voters naturally fluctuate from one side to the other. Get sick of one side, go to the other side. Repeat forever.
So in my opinion, to establish truly "free competitive markets" in 3rd world countries is not just privatize and deregulate as many naive gurus and academics think. Going there from the current situation leads only to Kleptocracies.
What to do, then? I don't know that's not my job. All I know, south american bonds and equities have been going up, but nothing has really changed, so I'm looking to short the hell out of those POS.