Forgive me Father for I am about to sin and disgrace myself by naming my prediction for Dem nominee.

[Tony Stark]

Yeh. I saw that. Joe has a massive lead in the national polls.

Problem is, it is not so massive in early primary primary states if at all. And then the fundraising problem.

But yeh, as always, Joe has a solid lead in the national polls and I give you that and see that and acknowledge that.

Biden is not going to be the nominee.

Since 1992 the candidate with the majority of the black vote wins the primary.Dont think that will change this year and doubt she can get the majority of the black vote.

 

[UsualName]

I see on the various TV screens.... ol' Joe has taken the lead again Tree.
Wall Street will accept Joe. He's a known quantity.
I think Pokey's done.

Hate to rain on the Biden parade but this cnn poll is more than likely an outlier. There have been a lot of “noisy” polls just prior to and after the last debate.

This race is much closer than that cnn poll say but Biden is the leading front runner. That last debate was good for him.

 

[vanzandt]

This race is much closer than that cnn poll say .

It is right now, but Biden is the establishment favorite. And as I said earlier, I think Wall Street will tolerate him too.
He's crying poor-mouth right now.... but that's bs.... he'll have all the money he needs. It'll come from 'somewhere'.

 

[vanzandt]

Shed bring massive black voter turn out,even more than Obama

Yep. She's very easy for black women especially to identify with. She's "real", not all pretty and skinny etc. That actually matters. Trust. Her vs. Pence in a debate.... that'll be a hoot. He won't know how to act. She will.

 

[UsualName]

It is right now, but Biden is the establishment favorite. And as I said earlier, I think Wall Street will tolerate him too.
He's crying poor-mouth right now.... but that's bs.... he'll have all the money he needs. It'll come from 'somewhere'.

I’m agnostic about this sort of stuff but I’ve been saying that this Warren front runner narrative the media has been pushing is weak for a while. Biden is and has been the leading front runner.

I agree with you that Warren has almost no connection with the dem base and she is more insurgent than inside track. Her policies are for people who either don’t know shit about shit or are well off enough that major changes in healthcare and mortgages won’t impact them. Pie in the sky nonsense and the dem base expects progress from its president’s. Biden can do that.

The base is comfortable with Biden’s positions on almost everything because he is actually a democrat so he understands democrats.

Biden is rickety though. It is what it is but he is also someone who would have a lot of talented people in his administration and he can run the government well off of muscle memory.

I also agree with you about Abrams. I’ve said she will be VP choice for months now. She is a solid domestic policy expert and a well liked person. She would do a great job as VP and maybe someday president regardless of Joe Biden or not.

 

[Tony Stark]

Yep. She's very easy for black women especially to identify with. She's "real", not all pretty and skinny etc. That actually matters. Trust. Her vs. Pence in a debate.... that'll be a hoot. He won't know how to act. She will.

I like her a lot. Black women will make going out to vote for her a group social event.They will drag thier husbends,fathers brothers etc out and make sure they vote for her.


I like Warren too but dont see how she can pull it off without black support.

 

[TreeFrogTrader]

Biden is and has been the leading front runner.

I agree with you that Warren has almost no connection with the dem base and she is more insurgent than inside track. Her policies are for people who either don’t know shit about shit or are well off enough that major changes in healthcare and mortgages won’t impact them.

Biden most definitely continues to be the leader.

And Warren most definitely is a loser for the dems as you have discussed.

Gonna be ugly when Joe falls.

 

[Tony Stark]

Gonna be ugly when Joe falls.

As long as he has the majority of black voters he wont fall.Black voters seem to be sticking with him because they dont have any alternatives.

 

[Snarkhund]

Biden most definitely continues to be the leader.

And Warren most definitely is a loser for the dems as you have discussed.

Gonna be ugly when Joe falls.

Yep, their front-runner is corrupt and Warren is profoundly unelectable.

Now what?

 

[Tony Stark]

Yep, their front-runner is corrupt and Warren is profoundly unelectable.

Now what?

Both are more electable than Trump.