Forecasting

I was wondering what everyone thought about forecasters? What is the difference between forecast and predictions. Is the best method not to trade the signals and then watch there calls. Does anyone know of any out there?
 
Let me say some words about forecasting.

2 main methods - predict future values and moment for buy/sell.
As an author of few projects I can say that first way is not good, more better try predict moments for buy/sell.
I've made last project based on second way - http://www.ProfitFromStocks.com estimate it, please.

Regards,
Eugene.
 
Why did you switch to free? Can you post the historical performance of the index signals with your method? I was thinking about the YM.

Michael B.


Quote from elabunsky:

Let me say some words about forecasting.

2 main methods - predict future values and moment for buy/sell.
As an author of few projects I can say that first way is not good, more better try predict moments for buy/sell.
I've made last project based on second way - http://www.ProfitFromStocks.com estimate it, please.

Regards,
Eugene.
 
Hi,

i think it's one way show how systems works - unlock signals for some stocks. Also I think that opening position before market close is more better than market open.

i'm developing other core (based on my new idea) and will unlock signals for nasdaq100 & may be for sp500 (for all tickers within both indices) based on this system. traders who will like signals will buy indicators for nasdaq100 & sp500 for open position before market close.

Regards,
Eugene.
 
sorry forget noticed about signals given by my core. simple click on any ticker or index and you will have signal history from 1Jan2004. I'll try clear it near future.

Regards,
Eugene.
 
When you "clear it"...could you try to put a text summary listing

Profit
Total Drawdown from consecutive losses
Win rate
Avg win to Avg loss ratio
Profit to Loss ratio

Michael B.

P.S. The Dow looks robust enough to trade Dow Futures (YM) I am searching for a YM system that would allow overnight holds for 2-18 days. I work during the day and I need to trade in the evenings. YM is 24 hr and I won't need to tie up so much money on $5.00 a point.

Michael B.



Quote from elabunsky:

sorry forget noticed about signals given by my core. simple click on any ticker or index and you will have signal history from 1Jan2004. I'll try clear it near future.

Regards,
Eugene.
 
Course I'll add this values. Also I like add profit for last 3,6 month. Equis charts and order report history. I'll also compare "market close" and "market open" results (I guess market close will be better).

Regards,
Eugene.
 
Quote from mikecully:

I was wondering what everyone thought about forecasters? What is the difference between forecast and predictions. Is the best method not to trade the signals and then watch there calls. Does anyone know of any out there?

Translated into English From french dictionary
http://www.granddictionnaire.com/btml/fra/r_motclef/index1024_1.asp
Prediction: intuitive evaluation of demand taking into account trend and change factors influencing the market

Note: Prediction is opposed to "forecast" which is based on an objective projection of the past into the future.

--
In french

Définition : Prédiction
Évaluation intuitive de la demande, compte tenu des tendances et des changements susceptibles d'influencer le marché.


Note(s) :
La prédiction s'oppose à la prévision (« forecast »), qui se fonde sur une projection objective du passé dans le futur.
---
 
Great! I will be watching and good trading.

Michael B.



Quote from elabunsky:

Course I'll add this values. Also I like add profit for last 3,6 month. Equis charts and order report history. I'll also compare "market close" and "market open" results (I guess market close will be better).

Regards,
Eugene.
 
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