For you guys that think we are not going further south...?!?!

Noob traders predict…experience traders react and trade.
your so full of shit, you dont speak for anyone but yourself , spacetime is already laid out in 4d, you write that you do things but you really do nothing at all
 
your so full of shit, you dont speak for anyone but yourself , spacetime is already laid out in 4d, you write that you do things but you really do nothing at all

Let me look at my trading journal right now….i got 28 green days in a row since yesterday 9/16/22…

“Never take an L no more….all i know is chase this dough…and get money”

 
fed_day_performance_2019-12-10-png.295338
Volcker being the sole exception, everyone who came after him were pretty much bubble makers. Their policy decisions were behind the curve, too little too late (as you can see with Jerome Powell and his late catch-up). Since 2008, all they did was inflate the stock market. They failed to equally prop up the underlying economy and the job market as well as contain the inflation, two mandates they were supposed to fulfill.
 
Relax El Manicero, there is NO bottom in sight. Even in 2023 there will be no bottom in sight. But don't forget to play the voluptous bear rallies! Downlegs are main courses, rallies are desserts. Play BOTH
Cuba might be the only safe place on Earth during the BEAR. Why? HE be partial to the Mizik and the fine people

That's a nice play, dancing with a country woman from guantanamo during recession and sell offs... Just remember to take a swimsuit and avoid drinking with people you don't know well :-))))))))



 
this is useless talk.
So Agree. Guessing and second guessing, based on non causal relationships, is a flat learning curve thing. Learn the difference between reasoning, validity and soundness. You are not even in the realm of validity, let alone soundness.

Get some traction in your reasoning, then you will get some traction in trading.
 
These are going up :

- India Nifty futures


These are going down :
- Hang Seng
- crude oil
- bonds
- gold / AUD / EUR / GBP / JPY


These are going Don't-know-where :
- NQ
etc etc etc
etc etc etc
etc etc etc
etc etc etc
etc etc etc
etc etc etc
etc etc etc
etc etc etc
_______________________
 
Last edited:
WTF??! The guy who until last week couldn't stop screaming "SELL EVERYTHING AND GO LONG!!" is now crying "GO SHORT!"

Great. It's time to flip and go long. Thanks for the heads up. :D


Gross misduplication of soyunganador. :) He has made some good calls and as proof he asked Admin to change his name from soyunperdedor to soyunganador. THEY did it and I agree. The Texan earned it.

WTF is wrong with you guys? Can't even compliment a fellow on a good call?

Keep it up, soyunganador, nice work, good thinking into your analysis.


 
Let me look at my trading journal right now….i got 28 green days in a row since yesterday 9/16/22…

“Never take an L no more….all i know is chase this dough…and get money”

With such a high win rate, how much are u betting per trade?? The compounding effect in your account should have u extremely rich in only months.
 
How could you be thinking we have bottomed at this point?

1. Inflation seems to have not been tamed, not at all.

2. The Fed seems 100% focused not on making sure inflation is killed (they were not so focused in the past it seems). They are going to keep hiking rates. Ruthlessley. Which cannot be good for earnings.

3. The Fed-Ex earnings report I hear was absolutely horrible, not just for Fed-Ex but for what it is saying about the economy in the near/mid term. That it is going to be awful.

So if you are one of these guys, how are you getting to the conclusion we have bottomed? You think there will not be a recession? Or you think the recession, and possibly huge drops in earnings, is already priced into the market? Or the squiggles you are seeing on your charts are just telling you we are at/near a bottom?

If we go into a full-blown recession, with earnings dropping hugely basically across the board, I just don't see why we wouldn't drop much further just like with prior recessions.

Thanks!
True, but mostly mis-direction. Interest rate increases are minor, vs major factor that Fed is not only no longer increasing its balance sheet -- nor any other Central Banks, except poss China -- but all are starting to reduce the sizes Technically, Fed just started increasing liquidation to about 95 billion monthly, on Sept 15, 2022.

2022-09-14-Other-FedBS-vs-SP500.png
 
Back
Top