Great post dozu. Good point about Election v's Inauguration - we don't have that gap so I had missed the relevance.
But come on now, draining the swamp's a great hook, but surely YOU don't believe that do you?
Look at how the swamps at FBI, CIA, DOJ, UN, and so on came out during Trumps presidency.
They didn't do so during other presidents. Why? because they belong to the same group.
it's just a general term for disrupting the corrupt establishment in Washington... and carrer hit the nail right there.
and both sides are equally guilty... I am not using the swamp to only referring to the Dems, as the GOP is just as innocent as the Halliburton no bid contracts... it just happens that after 8 years of Obama the left is more swampy when Trump took over.
there has been so many attacks on Trumps character, because his political enemies can't argue with success of his in biz, entertainment and politics... and the rank n file on the left just get brain washed because they don't have brains to think for themselves.... we did not elect Mother Theresa to run the country... as a matter of fact Mother Theresa would make a terrible president without the savvy to negotiate with tough opponents like China.
but regarding market volatility - the tweets are necessary because the media is all against him with very few exceptions..
and I'd attribute the volatility to my pro boys more than to Trump. What started the Oct '18 shake anyway... I don't remember now... some fake inflation rumor? nothing to do with the trade war... then in May and August we had some after shocks but the magnitude was getting smaller..
if you read my thread 'trading is easy', this observation would fit, because essentially the volatility was mainly not due to Trump, but due to the existence of excess in late 2018... and you can see the October, May, August shakes, forming an ascending triangle.... usually I don't like to use chart pattern lingo like 'triangle' because when isolated triangles or anything else means nothing... but in this instance, over a long time frame (the entire shake lasted 10-12 months), now if you look at the retail (aka dumb money) sentiment, they are back to the pessimism level around late 2017 early 2018, so we have a few months of smooth sailing ahead because of this 10-12 months shake the dumb money are out of chips.
And lastly, regardless if you are a short term volatility surfer, or a long term investor, you'd have made a bundle since the Nov 2016 election right, if you are only half decent?
yet there are so many never Trumpers just bitch and moan all day... what does that tell you? these people didn't make squat in the last 3 years... they are just terrible traders/investors... didn't make shit in the best environment in recent history... so they just keep complaining..
and also because their ego getting in the way they refuse to jump on the Trump train, because the next 5 years will be continued MAGA with SP reaching fair value of 5000-6000 (see my other posts on why)... once in a life time chance to get set for good... but still, plenty of people rather be miserable for 5 more years... what can you do.
I am going out for a ride... should be good for 200 miles today with the weather.. later.