For those that think gold is a bubble.

Quote from short&naked:

That weekly parabollic chart on my screen must be an illusion, or perhaps this time (dare I even say it)... it's different!

Gold was at $1000 3 years ago. It is now at 1380. How is that parabolic? Parabolic is something like oil going from $50 in 2006 to $146 in 2008, or the nasdaq from 1998 to 2000. Not going up 10% per annum for 3 years.
 
Quote from peilthetraveler:

A 1927 Ford Model T, right off the lot, cost an average price of $400, or 20 ounces of gold at 1927 prices.

A 2011 Ford Explorer, right off the lot, cost an average price of $28,000...or 20 ounces of gold at todays prices.

Any questions?

In 1930 an ounce of gold would buy 222 loaves of bread.

Today, an ounce of gold would buy 459 loaves.
 
Quote from jprad:
----222 loaves of bread.
----459 loaves.
Would that be cheapy Wonder Bread or some other loaf that actually has "substance and nutrition" to it? :confused: :(
 
I think we can all agree that there is price volatility for all goods and services.

So gold and model-t's and loaves of bread and men's suits and on and on........All will have different relative prices to gold throughout time.

Your anecdote about gold/ford doesn't tell much of a story, IMO.
 
Quote from Martinghoul:

Yes yes, let's agree that you're smart and I am stupid, so that we can get on with it...

In terms of your actual point, you'll get no disagreement from me, simply because I have no idea what your definition of "a bubble" is.

My definition? I cant very well make up my own definition of word to suit my purpose. (Unless I was a democrat). My definition is the dictionarys definition.

http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/bubble

an inflated speculation, esp. if fraudulent.

a sudden, small, temporary change or divergence from a trend:

A gold bubble that people are saying we have, mets neither criteria.
 
Quote from peilthetraveler:
My definition? I cant very well make up my own definition of word to suit my purpose. (Unless I was a democrat). My definition is the dictionarys definition.

http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/bubble

an inflated speculation, esp. if fraudulent.

a sudden, small, temporary change or divergence from a trend:

A gold bubble that people are saying we have, mets neither criteria.
Right, so your definition is the dictionary's definition. That's good to know.

This naturally raises the question, how do you know we're not experiencing an "inflated speculation" in gold at the moment?
 
Quote from peilthetraveler:

There were huge market crashes that year that severely affected prices of things. Cant use that data.

People who bought stock in 1927 never got break even in their lives again. And you are comparing the gold now with these days ?

You got to be kidding me.

So you're long on gold hugh ?!

Better reverse it, economics are better in Europe/Asia and USA. Gold will crash.
 
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