Quote from stock_trad3r:
Everyone is acting like this huge bear market was so obvious. Even in the 1990 bear market we had negative GDP, double digit unemployment, and much more inflation, and yet the losses were only 20%. This bear market is twice as deep without any of those. It defies logic.
Something really bad is being discounted. Maybe a 70's era recession? 2 decades of no economic growth? I dunno.
It was EXTREMELY obvious! I've been telling you for about a year that this is the worst global economic situation I've seen in 21 years in the biz, as well as being a trained economist.
You ignored everything just like Kudlow. Your econ analysis is awful. The GDP drop is yet to come. It follows. We also have much higher unemployment than officially reported, and GDP reporting is now a joke. We've in recession since January.
This time we have ridiculous overly levered firms and individuals which we did not have before. Open your eyes. A massive credit bubble like never before is the result. Take a look at a chart of personal debt. Its gone parabolic (yes I have posted those on your threads in the past). This market is coming off so hard because of the bubble, GDP, etc is secondary.
That said, we are way over sold now. The bear market bounce will be big and furious, although I bet we have an 18 month recession. There is nothing in the works to bring us out of it this time. And it will be global.