Quote from luh3417:
I can only add 2 thoughts. First, we need to think of the costs in terms of percentages of our total portfolio value. Second, any combination or more involved option position will of course, 2x 3x or 4x your commission + spread cost.
Let me put it this way: for illustration purposes, what if you did your (e.g. 120) options trades a year, and then hypothetically sold them 1 second after they filled. How much have you spent to play the game: what percent of your portfolio value are you signing up for as an uphill battle?
And then if you are simply buying calls/puts, what % of the time do you need to be right (directionally) to get back to break even.
I'll use IB's commiss. structure to illustrate. ($0.75/contract)
When trading a credit spread, which underlying you choose is going to make a huge difference. The difference between strikes could be $20, $10, $5, $2.5, or $1. I rarely trade the issues that have $20 strikes, so we can eliminate them. The majority that I trade will be either $5, $2.5, or $1 strikes, and I'm pretty evenly spread between the three. So let's assume an average play at $2.5 strikes.
It takes $1.50/contract to get into a credit spread. My average credit on those plays would be $115/contract. So 1.3% of my profits are going to be eaten up to get into the trade. This is regardless of the price of each leg or the underlying. The maximum commiss. I pay would be 2.6%, in the cases where a trade needed to be exited early.
If you get rid of technical and fundamental analysis, or anything that might give me an edge in choosing the direction, then I have a 50/50 shot at being right. So 50% of the time the position will expire worthless and I will not have to pay any commiss. to get out. The other 50% of the time it will go against me and I will get out early for the max commission.
So the "uphill battle" for credit spreads in my case is 1.95% (1.3% to get in, and 0.65% to get out).
This is a much harder calculation if you are simply buying long directionally. Single leg = 1/2 as much commission, but you almost always have to make another trade to get out. So if you always bought options with the same profit target ($115/contract) as in the credit spread example, then your "uphill battle" would be 1.3% (0.65% to get in, and 0.65% to get out).
So single leg plays have a 0.65% advantage over simple spread plays. IMHO this is made up for by a probability of profit comparison. You can't easily determine what % you would have to be right on long single leg plays, because you can be right and still lose money. That can't happen on an OTM/ATM credit spread.
The questions that follow this relate to risk and leverage.
