FOMC?

A

Aj2014

Is this gonna give us a nice 200-300 point rally on the Dow today?
Or will it just be a boring, non event (flat market, no impact)

I'm waiting for the next huge move up but looks like it'll need some 'help'
 
Argggh . . .

The only thing that matters is the trend and S/R whether it is horizontal or diagonal

Now form a concrete plan to trade it
 
My read:
-- The FED has limited parachutes (in lowering rates and purchasing low-risk paper), and feels it deployed these things properly to address the financial crisis.
-- Exiting the financial crisis is important not only for price stability ("fighting inflation" on the upside) but also to assuage downside ("too-tight capital") fears.
-- The FED has started gathering/bundling the interest rate parachute(s).
-- The FED has previously announced its intention to gather the QE 'paper-purchase' parachute, but with no date(s).

== Thusly:
-- They keep an interest rate hike off the table -- prices (wholesale/retail) and wages don't uniformly support a higher rate. This is "The Economy"....
-- "The Market" though (with a continuing collection of All-time Highs) supports the gathering/bundling-up of putting the Balance Sheet assets back into the financial markets.

== IF THE FED DOES announce not just an intention, but a recipe (including dates and target principle amounts), the market will plunk down -- 0.00% -- 0.50% by tomorrow close.
== IF THEY DON'T, but simply mouth more platitudes to the 'necessity of freeing policy tools for foreseeable future policy actions,' the market pops 0.5% to 0.75% tonight.

Disclosure:
I'm realllllly tight on top, and am sweating bullets.
 
cdcaveman said:
What happen to all the doomsdayer.. everyone is hard on for Rally's now
More...
I think people have finally woken up. It's taken them 10 years of relentless upside to realise , though :)

It only took me about 5 years before I realised how this market likes to move!! lol
 
tommcginnis said:
My read:
-- The FED has limited parachutes (in lowering rates and purchasing low-risk paper), and feels it deployed these things properly to address the financial crisis.
-- Exiting the financial crisis is important not only for price stability ("fighting inflation" on the upside) but also to assuage downside ("too-tight capital") fears.
-- The FED has started gathering/bundling the interest rate parachute(s).
-- The FED has previously announced its intention to gather the QE 'paper-purchase' parachute, but with no date(s).

== Thusly:
-- They keep an interest rate hike off the table -- prices (wholesale/retail) and wages don't uniformly support a higher rate. This is "The Economy"....
-- "The Market" though (with a continuing collection of All-time Highs) supports the gathering/bundling-up of putting the Balance Sheet assets back into the financial markets.

== IF THE FED DOES announce not just an intention, but a recipe (including dates and target principle amounts), the market will plunk down -- 0.00% -- 0.50% by tomorrow close.
== IF THEY DON'T, but simply mouth more platitudes to the 'necessity of freeing policy tools for foreseeable future policy actions,' the market pops 0.5% to 0.75% tonight.

Disclosure:
I'm realllllly tight on top, and am sweating bullets.
More...
There ya go Tom.
....."Analysis Spock"?
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top