what time frame are we talking?
If you're talking minute by minute, look for a battle as glass half full guys come in. If you're talking weeks, there is no confidence, and who trusts the administration or system? Didn't Bill Gross buy buy buy, get underwater, and then have a hissy fit? And we're going to outguess him? He can be correct by committing assets in a self fullfilling mode. His buying can propel us.
Listen to what I'm about to tell you. In Washington, everyone is wide awake. Wall St. entities are digging in their heels and have no where to go. But the SEC, the politicians, they all see it our way. Tremendous transgressions have taken place, and they are in no mood in DC to side with the money men. You have to factor that in. These assholes have backed Wall St. because they've had their pockets padded, and now, their priveledged lives are threatened. They will not take that lying down, and the finger pointing is going to start. That will NOT instill any confidence in financials , or the system.
This will be a week of historic events. The system has been driven to the brink of insolvency; now, we watch the power brokers scramble trying to limit the damage. The GOOD news is, they will be on the hedge funds, so they can't come in and make it worse.
The people here who trade need to be nimble, informed, and risk adverse. There will be plenty of money to made, plenty to be lost. This is going to finally be about talent.
BTW, there are plenty of "Bear Trap" advanced copies out there. Everybody who has it is sworn to secrecy. But I'm telling you to order an advance copy - from Overstock. LOL. I think it'll be must reading, and it will reinforce many of the threads I've started here for three years. It's all one big ball of wax, and the money men are scared shitless. Believe it. they have no where to go.
It's time to step up, and make your voice heard. They are pissing in our sandbox. Reply to fake blogs, challenge reporters, write your legislators. You guys know more than 99.9 % of the population (if that's not scary....)
Patrick Byrne told me once, his Dad (Jack was the head of Geico and Fireman's Fund), and he was testifying before some Congressional committee. At the end of his remarks, one of our precious elected representatives leaned forward to his mike and said, "so your telling us, if interest rates go up, bonds go down?"
Boys, we're on our own. (Ladies too!)