Flood risk in US midwest is high for year 2013

Hi George,

I was just joking about the business idea. Intent, and especially humor, are often difficult to decipher on the internet. In the future, I'll try to write more clearly. If that fails, I will rely on visual aids:

:) :D :p :mad: :eek: :confused:
 
Hello Again, Brighton.

I am thinking this hour very seriously about some things.

1) "Alan Greenspan" of USDA, Joseph Glauber,

why is so optimistic in Wheat Production ?

Kansas City Board of Trade ( KCBT ) Wheat is,

in a terrible Condition.

Also, the abandonment Rate will be at least 20% in the Hard Red Winter Wheat U.S.A States, i believe.

The Hard Red Spring Wheat have not planted it yet.

The Major U.S.A Hard Red Spring Wheat U.S.A States have big troubles from the Cold and Wet Weather.

Also, the Soils over there are too cold, i believe.

2) For the CBOT Corn at least for the July 2013,

i see that exist some things.

Between the Day 26/04/2013 and in the Day 29/04/2013.

Over there,

i see High Value for the Day 26/04/2013, 624.50 Cents per Bushel,

and i see Low Value for the Day 29/04/2013, 625 Cents per Bushel.

Seems that exist a very minor Price Gap here.

Also exist Price Gaps in the Fields of:

a) ( A Major ) 657.25 - 676 Cents per Bushel,

b) 652 - 657.75 Cents per Bushel.

I believe that will close first the minor Price Gap but who knows.

3) "Smelling" me a New Issue relative with Cyprus,

this time in Greece from the damn bastards of the EU.

4) Also, the Gold have a mysterious behavior the last Days.

Exist huge Psysical Demand as i know, but drops.

Kind Regards,

George Kanellopoulos.
 
Hello Again to All.

Exist the following News this hour:

1) http://www.agrimoney.com/news/world-corn-stocks-to-rebound-lifted-by-us-revival--5824.html ,

2) Exist in these News some reluctance from the Argentinian Farmers to sell their valuable Crop of Soybeans:

http://www.agrimoney.com/news/argentine-farmers-soy-hoarding-trips-up-glencore--5828.html ,

3) http://www.agrimoney.com/news/caution-on-ideas-of-big-crops-revives-grain-prices--5829.html ,

4) Here, exist some Comments except of anything else,

for the United States of America ( U.S.A ):

It is difficult to see the US being anything less than an agricultural superpower.

http://www.agrimoney.com/feature/bu...r-all-the-damage-from-2012s-drought--214.html ,

5) http://www.agrimoney.com/news/uk-wheat-imports-top-2m-tonnes-and-to-stay-strong--5835.html ,

6) http://www.agrimoney.com/news/sowing-delays-grow-as-farms-overlook-soy-for-corn--5831.html .

Some Weather and not only News comes from here:

1) http://www.dtnprogressivefarmer.com...&blogEntryId=8a82c0bc3e43976e013e8ffc271b0300 ,

2) http://www.dtnprogressivefarmer.com...&blogEntryId=8a82c0bc3e43976e013ea4d3f49b03c4 .

Also, based on here:

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Statistics...ition/index.asp ,

for the very important to Hard Red Winter Wheat U.S.A State of Kansas,

exist the following Numbers for the Hard Red Winter Wheat Condition,

for the Week Ending 12, May 2013:

a) 21% Very Poor,

b) 20% Poor,

c) 31% Fair,

d) 25% Good,

e) 3% Excellent.

So, based in Mr. Darin Newsom, DTN Winter Wheat Condition Index,

we have:

9 + 50 + 31 + ( -20 ) + ( -42 ) = 28.

Exist also some other News from here:

http://www.insidefutures.com/article/924868/Squeezing Corn and Soybeans Into The Last Day.html .

Now, from here:

http://talk.newagtalk.com/forums/thread-view.asp?tid=389620&mid=3097448#M3097448 ,

exist some Worries for Weather.

Seems, that exist a Problem for Weather,

that will comes a High Pressure Ridge that will generate below Average Precipitation and above Average Temperatures.

Also, exist in that Internet Site some concern,

from People,

that Corn Seed planted in mud,

will see hot & dry Temperatures.

Did not like them the Idea of Corn Seeds will getting baked into mud.

Exist some fresh Data over here:

http://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/gfdl-real-time-seasonal-forecasts .

Now, i want to notice that here:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/enso.shtml ,

and then here to the:

Weekly ENSO Evolution, Staturs, and Prediction Presentation ( PDF )

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf ,

for the 13 May 2013,

the ENSO-neutral conditions continue.

Kind Regards,

George Kanellopoulos.
 
Hello Again to All.

( Especially to Brighton that likes me from time to time! )

Some minutes ago,

in another place i publish some things.

They are about the following:

-----

Well,

Exist some mysterious things.

Gold drops a huge.

I watch the Gold.

Their behavior is very strange.

Also, the Grains have a strange behavior.

Must raise a huge but remains steady.

Now, the last 2-3 days,

i had contact with a Dealer of Gold into Europe ( Very big that Company with my small opinion ),

for to buy Gold Coins,

basically Gold Sovereigns.

Told me that the Demand is huge,

did not have Gold to sell,

and the Telephones “burned” from the Clients asked for Gold.

I said,

but the Gold drops.

Told me that can not explained it that.

So, i conclude after all these that possibly,

the damn bastards of EU,

prepared for a hit.

It is something with Greece, again.

Possibly,

it is relative with some local Natural Gas Companies that does not want it to get it the Russians that had make a bid.

Exist a Contest that end on 29th May, 2013, here,

to which will win.

The only way to avoid that,

is possibly to “hit” with a way Greece,

to take Deposits from Greeks here,

to drop the Local Government,

and to come other Government.

In that Case Gold can make a huge raise.

Also, the Grains to drop and to “take” them in their hands.

They know i believe,

that exist bad Weather Conditions that can affect the Crops.

With a such move,

can exit the People that have correct Positions into the Grains Markets with Stop Loss” Orders, too,

to create them huge Losses and to “take” their Positions.

Another thing above than "crazy",

was a move from Fitch.

Upgrade some major Banks here:

http://www.ibtimes.com/sign-improvi...-bank-greece-other-top-banks-just-days-after# ,

which are already bankrupted!!!

I believe that make a such move for to calm the Markets and then to exist the hit!!!

They are damn bastards, i guess…!

I will stay to see…!

Possibly, all these maybe,

will happen this weekend.

Again, tell me mad…,

but i believe a such thing…!

Kind Regards,

George Kanellopoulos.

P.S. Be very careful tomorrow and watch very closely the News for this weekend about Greece…

-----

Best Regards,

George Kanellopoulos.
 
Hello Again to All.

I am around here this hour and i watch the News ( Greek News, basically ).

Seems that again this Weekend will not happen anything over here.

With all these things of course someone will wonder,

how can affect an Agriculture Trading Forum ?

Why say to us all these ?

Basically, because,

if exist a "hit" which i believe that will do it finally,

the damn bastards of EU to Greece,

this can affect tremendous the Grains Markets, too.

From nowhere,

this small Country,

but a tremendous important Country at least for Geopolitical Reasons,

can "shake" the Global Markets.

Now, someone will propably,

will be wonder,

why cares me the Geopolitical Issues over there ?

Does not leave me alone to my problems with the Grains Markets,

why want to warning here in this Agriculture Trading Forum for Geopolitical Issues ?

Grains Trading,

is be done between Countries.

Someone, must follow at least and a little and this Issue.

Let me say an Example.

A new War does not know someone how can "shake" the Grains Markets.

If exist for example an ebargo from a Major Producing Country,

or huge imports from that Event from Importing Countries,

noone is completely sure how can affect all these the Global Grains Chain.

Now, let me say very little Words for the Situation here.

Exist a Contest that will end ( At least for now that i write these Words ) on May 29th, 2013.

That Contest is relative for the selling of 2 Natural Gas Companies of Greece,

DEPA and DESFA.

For the first Company ( DEPA ) the bigger Amount give it the Russian Giant Company,

GAZPROM.

For the second Company ( DESFA ) the biggest Amount give it the Russian Company,

SINTEZ.

Now, exist something relative with the Russian Companies.

I am sure that some People,

does not want these Russian Companies to get the Greek Companies because of their interests.

Does not want with simple Words,

the Russians to take these Companies because will take an enormous Advantage in Energy and in Geopolitics in that Region.

So, with a planted "Event" relative to Greece from the side of the damn bastards of EU can avoid a such thing ( Selling of the Greek Natural Gas Companies to Russian Companies ),

and also to create other benefits to the People that will create it.

One is relative with the Grains.

Now, in this Agriculture Trading Forum in the past,

i had notice something.

Greece is the only Country in the World that is in the Crossroads of 3 Continents.

Europe - Asia - Africa.

Noone Country in the World have a such Anvantage anywhere in the World.

So, big Countries - Powers, cares them, what happen over here.

Now, U.S.A, and basically U.S. Navy,

have create a very big Naval Base in the Greek Island of Crete and basically in Suda.

The United States of America ( U.S.A ) have the biggest War Marine Fleet with presence in almost all the Major Sea Places of the Planet.

So, Americans are stupid that create a such Naval Base over here ?

Of course not.

So, all these have their Role.

Also, exist and a Doctrine relative with Russia.

Never the West Countries ( Basically NATO ) - Powers will "leave it",

to "come down" in the warm Seas.

Warm Seas describe them as the Aegean Sea and also the Mediterranean Sea.

But these Seas are in the front of Greece...!

Now, Russia after the collapse of Communism about in the year 1991 and after a very bad time period inside of it,

have start to be a tremendous big Power.

Also, Russia except of anything else,

had, have and will have a tremendous powerful Human Resources.

So, some People that are in the West Countries,

does not want to "leave it" to "come" over here.

With all these,

i try to explain you,

the overall Situation with some details.

So, here,

i will close this Message.

I hope to find it helpful.

Respectfully Yours,

George Kanellopoulos.
 
Hello Again to All.

I decide this hour to write some more Words.

Exist some very interesting Data, i guess:

1) Here someone will wonder,

if the Importing Numbers for Soybeans relative to China from USDA are correct:

http://www.agrimoney.com/news/china-stokes-doubts-over-usda-soy-trade-estimates--5839.html ,

2) http://www.agrimoney.com/news/us-corn-plantings-to-disappoint-ag-giants-say--5843.html ,

3) https://research.tdwaterhouse.ca/re.../CommoditiesNews?documentKey=1314-L3N0DX2AU-1 ,

4) http://www.agrimoney.com/news/uk-potato-prices-to-stay-high-despite-crop-rebound--5853.html ,

5) http://www.agrimoney.com/marketrepo...ng-hopes-send-corn-to-11-month-low--2142.html .

Some Weather and not only News comes from here:

1) ( The Western Corn Belt ( WCB ) seems that have some very strange Climatology Events )

http://www.dtnprogressivefarmer.com...&blogEntryId=8a82c0bc3e43976e013ead38b2c90418 ,

2) http://www.dtnprogressivefarmer.com...&blogEntryId=8a82c0bc3e43976e013eadf2296c041f .

I want to notice some Data from here relative to Crop Moisture Index:

http://www.e-adm.com/Weather/Maps.aspx?cat=MOIST .

I want to notice some Data from here relative to Surface Relative Humidity:

http://www.e-adm.com/Weather/Maps.aspx?cat=HUMID .

Also, i want to notice some Data from here relative to Soil Temperature Maps:

http://www.greencastonline.com/tools/SoilTempMaps.aspx .

Seems here,

that the rapid Pace in Corn Planting being:

a) In Soil Conditions too Wet,

b) In Surface Conditions with high Relative Humidity,

c) A strange Weather Environment ( Which can go to a "Flash" Heat ),

d) In Soil Temperatures which i do not know if are ideal,

but i worry for them, too.

So, someone must be very sceptical and to wonder a lot for the Corn Production Numbers,

of "Alan Greenspan" of USDA, Joseph Glauber.

I want to say here 2 Price Gaps for CBOT Corn but in the continuous Futures Contracts:

1) A very minor Price Gap between 624.50 - 625 Cents per Bushel,

2) A major Price Gap between 679 - 695.25 Cents per Bushel.

Both of them will be closed,

but we do not know the exactly time for this to occurs.

I will stop here for now...

Best Regards,

George Kanellopoulos.
 
Hello Again to All.

Exist this hour the following News:

1) http://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/News.aspx?ElementId=33d6e83b-69dc-4990-86f7-c5b5cc5d95da ,

2) http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/05/20/argentina-grains-ports-idUSL2N0E11KH20130520 ,

3) http://www.agrimoney.com/news/rush-to-empty-silos-sends-eu-wheat-to-year-lows--5858.html ,

4) http://www.agrimoney.com/news/us-farmers-plant-corn-at-fastest-pace-on-record--5860.html ,

5) http://www.agrimoney.com/news/ruralco-stays-cautious-over-aussie-wheat-prospects--5862.html ,

6) http://www.agrimoney.com/news/us-crop-fears-retreat-for-now-to-frontier-states--5861.html .

U.S.A Farmers make a mythical and record pace planting of Corn into a Week:

http://www.dtnprogressivefarmer.com...&blogEntryId=8a82c0bc3e43976e013ec3c227f404fd .

Based on here:

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Statistics_by_State/Kansas/Publications/Crop_Progress_and_Condition/ ,

for the very important to Hard Red Winter Wheat U.S.A State of Kansas,

exist the following Numbers for the Hard Red Winter Wheat Condition,

for the Week Ending 19, May 2013:

a) 21% Very Poor,

b) 21% Poor,

c) 30% Fair,

d) 25% Good,

e) 3% Excellent.

So, based in Mr. Darin Newsom, DTN Winter Wheat Condition Index,

we have:

9 + 50 + 30 + ( -21 ) + ( -42 ) = 26.

Based on here:

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Statistics...lications/Crop_Progress_&_Condition/index.asp ,

for the important to Hard Red Winter Wheat U.S.A State of Colorado,

exist the following Numbers for the Hard Red Winter Wheat Condition,

for the Week Ending 19, May 2013:

a) 29% Very Poor,

b) 23% Poor,

c) 32% Fair,

d) 15% Good,

e) 1% Excellent.

So, based in Mr. Darin Newsom, DTN Winter Wheat Condition Index,

we have:

3 + 30 + 32 + ( -23 ) + ( -58 ) = -16.

Based on here:

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Statistics...lications/Crop_Progress_&_Condition/index.asp ,

for the important to Hard Red Winter Wheat U.S.A State of Nebraska,

exist the following Numbers for the Hard Red Winter Wheat Condition,

for the Week Ending 19, May 2013:

a) 20% Very Poor,

b) 29% Poor,

c) 40% Fair,

d) 11% Good,

e) 0% Excellent.

So, based in Mr. Darin Newsom, DTN Winter Wheat Condition Index,

we have:

0 + 22 + 40 + ( -29 ) + ( -40 ) = -7.

Based on here:

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Statistics...lications/Crop_Progress_&_Condition/index.asp ,

for the important to Hard Red Winter Wheat U.S.A State of Oklahoma,

exist the following Numbers for the Hard Red Winter Wheat Condition,

for the Week Ending 19, May 2013:

a) 24% Very Poor,

b) 28% Poor,

c) 29% Fair,

d) 17% Good,

e) 2% Excellent.

So, based in Mr. Darin Newsom, DTN Winter Wheat Condition Index,

we have:

6 + 34 + 29 + ( -28 ) + ( -48 ) = -7.

Based on here:

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Statistics_by_State/Texas/Publications/Crop_Progress_&_Condition/index.asp ,

for the important to Hard Red Winter Wheat U.S.A State of Texas,

exist the following Numbers for the Hard Red Winter Wheat Condition,

for the Week Ending 19, May 2013:

a) 48% Very Poor,

b) 28% Poor,

c) 18% Fair,

d) 6% Good,

e) 0% Excellent.

So, based in Mr. Darin Newsom, DTN Winter Wheat Condition Index,

we have:

0 + 12 + 18 + ( -28 ) + ( -96 ) = -94.

Also, over there have create something very interesting.

It is here:

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Statistics...ions/Crop_Progress_&_Condition/maps/index.htm .

( You can make Mouse Click inside. )

USDA is very powerful, indeed.

Kind Regards,

George Kanellopoulos.
 
Hello Again to All.

Well,

i have to say,

that i haven't any good mood the last days for to read a huge amount of Data's relative to Grains.

From early of this Morning with my local time,

i make a try to cover many things.

So, here are some News:

1) http://www.agrimoney.com/news/brazil-crop-ideas-fuel-downbeat-talk-on-corn-price--5864.html .

2) Lanworth an interesting Company,

predict some Wheat Numbers:

http://www.agrimoney.com/news/lanworth-cautious-over-world-wheat-prospects--5866.html .

Of course relative to the Field that involved Lanworth,

i have a very big sympathy to this Company with the Name: GDA Corp.:

http://www.gdacorp.com/ .

3) http://www.agrimoney.com/news/strat-grains-trims-eu-wheat-hopes-but-ups-barley--5871.html ,

4) http://www.agrimoney.com/news/uk-to-import-more-wheat-than-bangladesh--5873.html .

5) Here, i believe that exist troubles from Drought Conditions in the Spring Wheat Russia's Southern District:

http://www.agrimoney.com/news/bef-flags-north-south-divide-in-russia-grain-hopes--5876.html .

6) Seems that exist problems in New Zealand,

in their Pastures.

I have find:

-----

April is typically one of the best months for output, given a seasonal high in pasture condition, although an unusually cold spring supressed grass growth.

-----

http://www.agrimoney.com/news/dairy-market-rally-well-and-truly-over--5880.html .

7) With my small opinion here,

i do not believe that the CBOT Corn can drop below 400 Cents per Bushel:

http://www.agrimoney.com/news/deutsche-sees-potential-for-corn-price-below-$4--5879.html .

8) From here,

i will keep especially:

-----

Further buying

Indeed, on Monday, China's CNGOIC think tank revealed that the country had in fact bought up to 650,000 tonnes, of the grain last week.

The CNGOIC said that the purchase price, of $320-328 a tonne, was 11.6% cheaper than domestic values, which have been elevated by ideas that last year's harvest was far smaller than official forecasts say, having been damaged by fusarium blight.

Furthermore, this year's crop has suffered weather damage in many areas.

And the quality of much wheat in state inventories is also believed to be of questionable quality.

While US markets were closed on Monday for the Memorial Day holiday, Mr Watters said that development in the wheat market "don't exactly call for wheat to fall apart as we head into harvest".

-----

http://www.agrimoney.com/news/wheat-price-revival-questions-hedge-fund-selling--5881.html .

Another important News comes from here:

http://dyersvillesales.com/hay-auction/hay-auction-results/ .

-----

Dyersville Sales Co.

Hay Auction Market Report 5/22/13

Receipts: 417 tons were sold. The market was $50-70/ TON HIGHER. Top was a load of 230 RFV 5th crop selling at an all time record high price of $405/ ton. Demand was excellent. New Crop in large squares alfalfa sold for $345/ ton and new crop grass sold for $300/ ton.

-----

Hay - Large Square

Supreme,

hits the mythical Number of: 405 USD per Tonne...!

By the way,

Hay - Large Square

Premium,

gone to the Field of: 330 USD - 350 USD per Tonne.

Now, seems that in Canada exist:

Prairie Planting Weather Generally Favourable

http://www.dtnprogressivefarmer.com...&blogEntryId=8a82c0bc3e43976e013ed1e905d60580 .

Now, always cares me what is going on to the very big Country named Russia.

Except of anything else there,

the Russian Space Research Institute ( IKI ) and the department "Technology of satellite monitoring" ,

have create the amazing Service with the Name:

Service VEGA.

What to say about this Service is little.

The dream relative to it,

is to expand it as soon as possible.

Now, i will provide some Internet Links:

1) http://vega.smislab.ru/ ,

2) http://vega.smislab.ru/eng/ ,

3) http://vega.smislab.ru/eng/maps/ ,

4) http://vega.smislab.ru/eng/bulletins/bulletins.sht .

Exist a Google Translator that can help here:

http://translate.google.com/#auto/en/ .

Also, have detect over there some interesting News which need translation:

1) http://vega.smislab.ru/press/2013_03_19_zernovoy_klub.pdf ,

2) http://vega.smislab.ru/press/2013_04_05_wincrops.pdf ,

3) http://vega.smislab.ru/press/2013_04_09_wincrops.pdf .

You can use the Copy and Paste to the Google Translator.

I believe that must stop somewhere here...

Take Care.

Kind Regards,

George Kanellopoulos.
 
Hello Again to All.

I decide this hour to write some Words,

because of something that i see some Minutes ago,

in a Greek News Internet Site.

If you remember very well,

i had mention the Issue of a Contest here for the selling of two Greek Natural Gas Companies to Russian Companies.

That Contest theoritically must ended it in 29th May, 2013.

But expand it to the 7th June, 2013...

Now, if finally end that Contest,

i will "calm" with anything relative to that and with the Grains Markets.

Now, today arrive here and one of the major damn bastards of European Union ( EU ) with the Name:

Jeroen Dijsselbloem.

That damn bastard of European Union ( EU ) is from the Country Netherlands for to do not forget and their past.

Now, what i have find ?

Today, at 21:30 Greek Local Time,

meaning 14:30 U.S.A Eastern Time,

meaning 13:30 U.S.A Central Time ( Chicago, Kansas City, Minneapolis ),

make a Conference the International Monetary Fund ( IMF ) for to examine the overall situation here,

and to approve a Dosage of 1.8 Billion Euro's to Greece.

I believe that a Decision,

will be exist after the close of the Markets.

Now, you know very well when close the Grains Markets over there in U.S.A..

Possibly, some People does not know or forget,

that the Closing Time in Currencies Trading is at 16:00 U.S.A Central Time,

and the Closing Time in Gold Trading is at 16:15 U.S.A Central Time.

Because comes Weekend and in Weekends can exist strange things have and that in your Minds...

Kind Regards,

George Kanellopoulos.
 
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