Quote from Pa(b)st Prime:
I've heard in a worse case scenario a condo owner can have liability below zero. In a co-op for sure.
There's about 1,000,000 units of multi-family housing in South Florida. Someone told me there's 350 hi-rises on each side of Collins and then A1A between Miami Beach and Boca.
The supply is seemingly unlimited.
Compared to rents resale values are outrageous. One can rent a condo for $1500 a month that would sell for $300k.
South Florida uniquely attracts a condo demographic. Older people who're tired of keeping a SFH, New Yorker's who've never lived in a SFH, and wealthy South American's-many of them from those hi-rises in Sao Paulo- who're fleeing the scary ideology of S.A.'s new clique of Marxist leaders.
Throw in the folks who merely winter here, Europeans and Canadians spending cheap dollars and those who worry about the fortitude of a house in a Cat4 (my SFH's hurricane insurance this year is 9k) and you have a booming condo market.
Also no state income or VAT tax. Wealthy New Yorker's and refugee's from Taxachusetts can almost subsidize a condo down here with their tax savings if they declare Florida their legal residence.
So it's iffy. IMO, prices are often ridiculous given supply but supply seems to find buyers. I'd say a solid 25% break is coming but at the end of the day that just fills in those 03-04 prices.
Good summary and I think the bottom in Miami will be found long before the bottom in Southern California...sometime earl/mid next year maybe. I'm going to be looking, I already find Miami Beach condos fairly cheap for what you get. Only other place I'd look is Caribbean Mexico and the plane flight from NYC and transport makes that a bit less attractive...plus, the infrastructure in Miami during hurricanes makes me feel better than smaller condos building in places like Playa Del Carmen where I'd likely end up buying.