Fixed odds betting the S&P 500 cash

Lost by half a point today and chickened out of shorting 1364 into the close which woulda won.Based on the likelyhood of lows/highs coming at the start/end of week i am long at 1361 into tomorrows close.We had a slightly higher low today than monday and a second test of 1364 might see us close above there.Of course,the smarter move would have been to buy todays low into tomorrows close,but at the time i thought we might go lower.That way we could close lower than todays close but i could still win- a lesson for the future.
 
I am bullish today all the way into the close at 1445 (inc com) and long 9.50 to 12.30 ay 1342.5. I think we will stay above 1344 support,fridays being bullish recently and the predicted pattern confirms this view,with a drop in afternoon trading to 2.30pm and a strong reversal there into the close.
 
Selling the bounce, i am short 11am to 3.30pm at 1360.8 no other real reason other than taking advantage of price action- i could just as easily have decided to buy the early low around 1352.
 
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